WA (PPP) - Biden +22 (user search)
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  WA (PPP) - Biden +22 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA (PPP) - Biden +22  (Read 2778 times)
Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« on: May 22, 2020, 01:54:22 PM »

Hillary won this state by 15.71, so this is a swing of 6.29%. Kim Schrier's seat would go from a Clinton+3 (Tilt/Lean D) seat to a Biden+9.3 (Likely D) seat. Additionally, Jaime Herrera Beutler goes from a Trump+7.4 (Lean/Likely R) seat to a Trump +1.1 (Tossup/Tilt R) seat. Cathy McMorris Rogers' previously safe Trump+13.1 seat becomes a Lean/Likely R Trump+6.8 seat. So, the main implications here seem to be Schrier looks safe-ish, Beutler could be in real trouble, and Rogers could be vulnerable in a big wave.

It should be noted that the House PV margin in 2018 was more Democratic than this poll, and the Republican incumbents you listed held on by a fair bit (Beutler +5.4, Rodgers +9.5).
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