McGrath probably would have been better suited trying to run against Barr again, but she can win in Kentucky, because McConnell is just so unpopular nationally, and in state.
I'd tie him to Bevin (since tying him to Trump probably won't work as well.) if I were running her campaign.
I don't think donating to Harrison is lighting money on fire (he's got a better chance to win than Doug Jones), but he's a heavy underdog against Lindsey Graham, and he's less likely to win than McGrath is.
McGrath’s problem is that she is incredibly, transparently wishy-washy and flip-floppity. Right out of the gate she contradicted herself on the Kavanaugh vote. She’s repeatedly contradicted herself on Trump since then. She won’t energize liberals, she won’t do enough to win over Trump voters, she won’t unify Kentuckians the way Beshear did, and she won’t play as well in coal country as Adkins would have. Basically she is the worst of all worlds.
I actually think she is a weaker nominee than McConnell’s last challenger, Allison Grimes, was. I really do not get why Schumer thought someone who lost one of the most winnable swing districts of 2018 — a district that Jim Gray won handily in 2016, that Beshear won by double digits in 2019, and that polls show Biden is winning by double digits as well this year — was such a great candidate. She already proved she was not a great candidate against Barr; if she hadn’t edged him out in the primaries, Jim Gray (who I voted for) would probably be my representative right now. Amy’s campaign (which relied on a “high ground” strategy) was just abysmal in 2018, and despite the strong fundraising I don’t see much sign she’s improved since then. If she learned anything from last time, she might well have had a better shot in a repeat against Barr (who she almost beat despite the terrible campaign), but then again I see little sign she has learned anything.
I really, REALLY wish it had been Adkins. From what I have heard from people in the know, he had personal reasons not to run. But it’s still a shame. Because Amy simply ain’t gonna win. The more “progressive” candidates running against her won’t either. At this point I don’t really care which it is because all are doomed, but at least the other two seem more principled than Amy.
