Georgia (Civiqs): Ossoff +2, Collins/Warnock Top 2
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  Georgia (Civiqs): Ossoff +2, Collins/Warnock Top 2
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Author Topic: Georgia (Civiqs): Ossoff +2, Collins/Warnock Top 2  (Read 1221 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: May 19, 2020, 11:18:21 AM »
« edited: May 19, 2020, 11:56:52 AM by wbrocks67 »

Same poll has Biden +1.

Ossoff (D) 47
Perdue (R) 45

Perdue (R) 45
Tomlinson (D) 44

Perdue (R) 45
Amico (D) 42

--------

Collins (R) 34
Warnock (D) 18
Lieberman (D) 14
Loeffler (R) 12
Tarver (D) 6
Someone Else 4
Unsure 12

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/5/19/1946046/-Democrats-could-pick-up-two-Senate-seats-in-Georgia-but-it-s-tight?_=2020-05-19T09:07:53.368-07:00
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Clinton/Kaine/ Northam/ Biden/Warner voter for Youngkin
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« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2020, 11:22:30 AM »

Purdue has straddled 45% in three straight polls, also this poll shows Lieberman and Warnock doing about the same, which shows that it may not be a total disaster for Democrats, if Lieberman wins. Anyways, Purdue is in big trouble this fall, though I still think he survives by the skin of his teeth. But, I will be shocked if Republicans hold both Senate seats and would not be shocked if Democrats ultimately won both.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2020, 11:26:57 AM »

The runoffs:
Lieberman (D) 44
Loeffler (R) 32

Tarver (D) 43
Loeffler (R) 32

Warnock (D) 45
Loeffler (R) 32

Lieberman (D) 44
Collins (R) 44

Warnock (D) 45
Collins (R) 44

Tarver (D) 42
Collins (R) 45
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2020, 11:33:41 AM »

Georgia is starting to look more and more like a tossup in both the presidential and senate races.

By the way, I donít think Loeffler is going to make it to the runoff...
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2020, 11:35:58 AM »

Port of call: Civiqs is R-leaning.

If I were a Republican, I'd be quite concerned.
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Mr. Kanye West
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« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2020, 11:45:15 AM »

Wont matter, it's a runoff
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Clinton/Kaine/ Northam/ Biden/Warner voter for Youngkin
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« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2020, 11:46:44 AM »


The polls show the runoff close, and if the runoff will decide control, you can ensure that Democrats will spend lots of money in hopes of galvanizing turnout
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2020, 11:49:00 AM »

Looks like Perdue's Gwinnett GOTV Gang needs to work overtime this fall.
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Pollster
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« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2020, 11:54:01 AM »

In the special, the combined vote is 46 R/38 D.

The bulk of undecideds are almost certainly Democrats, given that the 46 R number is not much different from where both Trump and Perdue are performing.

If Dems consolidate, Loeffler stays in, and Biden remains in his current position, a first-round win for Dems here can't be ruled out.

That's a lot of if's, though.
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2020, 11:54:58 AM »

Why the GOP establishment still hasn't abandoned Loeffler is beyond me.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2020, 11:57:48 AM »

Kinda shook that Warnock even slightly beats Collins in the runoff.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2020, 11:59:04 AM »

Perdue fav: 39/45 (-6)
Loeffler fav: 21/59 (****-38*****)
Collins fav: 40/35 (+5)

Loeffler is nearly 40 POINTS underwater.
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#Joemala2020
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« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2020, 11:59:32 AM »

French Republican said Perdueís race was Safe R and Del Tachi said Perdue was going to outperform Kemp in the ATL suburbs.
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Mr. Kanye West
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« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2020, 12:06:18 PM »

Dems have a better chance going after Perdue to give Ds a 51 seat, Warnock isnt a great candidate
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2020, 01:46:47 PM »

Perdue fav: 39/45 (-6)
Collins fav: 40/35 (+5)

LOL. Much was made of the absurd contrast between the "candidate quality" of Perdue and Collins, but it doesnít even look like Perdue would outperform Collins at all in a runoff.
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Mr. Kanye West
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« Reply #15 on: May 19, 2020, 01:56:54 PM »

The Senate likely will be 50/49 R until Special election in MA, GA 2 and GA 2, with all three races, it can get Dems a tied Senate or a majority
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #16 on: May 19, 2020, 02:24:45 PM »

Can we all agree candidate quality is overrated?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #17 on: May 19, 2020, 02:26:16 PM »

Can we all agree candidate quality is overrated?

In Georgia, up to a point (though boosting turnout can still very a lot with #candidatequality).
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President Johnson
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« Reply #18 on: May 19, 2020, 02:28:42 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2020, 02:41:08 PM by President Johnson »

Lmao Loeffler... turns out insider trading isn't that popular. Go Warnock!

I hope Tomlinson wins the primary on the Democratic side. I still think she's a better candidate and would be a better senator.
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OneJ
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« Reply #19 on: May 19, 2020, 02:31:19 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2020, 02:48:43 PM by OneJ »

Neither of these contests should be rated tossup because Georgia just isnít there yet. /s
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Xing
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« Reply #20 on: May 19, 2020, 03:51:12 PM »

Obviously they forgot to poll Cobb and Gwinnett, where Perdue is winning 25-30% of Clinton/Abrams/Biden voters.
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« Reply #21 on: May 19, 2020, 03:56:39 PM »

Purdue has straddled 45% in three straight polls, also this poll shows Lieberman and Warnock doing about the same, which shows that it may not be a total disaster for Democrats, if Lieberman wins. Anyways, Purdue is in big trouble this fall, though I still think he survives by the skin of his teeth. But, I will be shocked if Republicans hold both Senate seats and would not be shocked if Democrats ultimately won both.

Winning the second seat in a runoff is still going to be impossible for the Democrats. The fall-off is going to be as large as it was in 2008. Winning the first seat in the GE is definitely possible, though. The Democrats should change the law to have runoffs held on election day as soon as they gain the power to do so (or just get rid of the jungle primary, which was specifically designed in the South to disenfranchise black voters).
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Storr
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« Reply #22 on: May 19, 2020, 04:13:43 PM »

Can we all agree candidate quality is overrated?
But candidate not being negative 38% in popularity quality is not overrated.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #23 on: May 19, 2020, 04:52:56 PM »

Port of call: Civiqs is R-leaning.

If I were a Republican, I'd be quite concerned.

That would make another Collins concerned
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Mr. Kanye West
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« Reply #24 on: May 19, 2020, 05:01:03 PM »

Dems have to win AZ, CO, KS, ME and MT for 51. MT and KS need to be solidified. KS is an open seat. Then, GA, NC can be the extra seats Dems get. But, Ossoff is much better than Warnock
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