Firehouse/Optimus: Biden + 10.2%
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  Firehouse/Optimus: Biden + 10.2%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Firehouse/Optimus: Biden + 10.2%  (Read 943 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 18, 2020, 01:45:06 PM »
https://github.com/optimus-forecasting-and-polling/Firehouse-0ptimus-Coronavirus-Tracking/tree/master/May-18-2020
May 9-16
780 likely voters

MoE for the full sample of 916 adults: 7.5%

Presidential Ballot
Biden 51.6%
Trump 41.4%
Would not vote 7%

Generic Congressional Ballot
D 44.4%
R 35.9%
Other 3%
Would not vote 1.4%
Unsure 15.3%
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2020, 01:46:54 PM »
His lead just keeps growing! No wonder the disgusting hacks at RCP refuse to put this poll into their averages.
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YE
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2020, 01:49:09 PM »
>Decimals.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2020, 01:52:56 PM »
President Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2020, 01:56:08 PM »
Looks like!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2020, 02:00:30 PM »

Still 169 days to go.  Let's hope nothing major changes.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2020, 02:43:42 PM »
BIDEN 533 TO Trump 5, Trump only wins UT, doesn't pay to ask the Asian lady to go ask China in Covid 19. This poll is funny
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: May 18, 2020, 02:54:49 PM »
Double digit lead.
Booyah!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2020, 03:13:50 PM »
Can we take a second AGAIN and say it's crazy how a *Republican* pollster is finding these results?

Of course, RCP won't bother putting this into their tracker. They had the audacity to include Reuters/Ipsos in their Trump approval tracker, but not the Biden +8 in their election tracker. They're a mess.
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Hammy
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« Reply #9 on: May 18, 2020, 03:38:41 PM »
Anybody else starting to suspect the GOP is pumping up Biden's numbers in their internal polls to further motivate Republicans and cause Dems to let their guard down?
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Pericles
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« Reply #10 on: May 18, 2020, 03:41:35 PM »
Quote from: Hammy on May 18, 2020, 03:38:41 PM
Anybody else starting to suspect the GOP is pumping up Biden's numbers in their internal polls to further motivate Republicans and cause Dems to let their guard down?

It seems like the best motivator is for the result to be really close, maybe a narrow Biden lead would work best for that. A landslide margin seems unhelpful for that.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: May 18, 2020, 03:42:25 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on May 18, 2020, 01:46:54 PM
His lead just keeps growing! No wonder the disgusting hacks at RCP refuse to put this poll into their averages.

Not good!
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SN2903
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« Reply #12 on: May 18, 2020, 05:25:40 PM »
Saving this one. Measuring the drapes already?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #13 on: May 18, 2020, 05:44:36 PM »
Quote from: Hammy on May 18, 2020, 03:38:41 PM
Anybody else starting to suspect the GOP is pumping up Biden's numbers in their internal polls to further motivate Republicans and cause Dems to let their guard down?

Serious hat on: I said a while ago that my guess was that the QUARANTINE somehow f**ked their methodology HARD and their results have been out to sea since.

Hack hat on: keep up the good work, Firehouse Subs! Optimus Prime is looking out for you!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: May 18, 2020, 05:53:31 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on May 18, 2020, 05:25:40 PM
Saving this one. Measuring the drapes already?

Every Dem Gov in states that matter have 60% approvals: Whitmer of MI 60%  Pritzker IL 60%, Newsom CA 80%, Wolf PA 60%, Bullock MT Senate 60%, Cooper 60% and Laura Kelly 60%, KS Senate race. Evers has a 53% approval

That's the 278 EC map right there
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: May 18, 2020, 06:03:43 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on May 18, 2020, 05:53:31 PM
Quote from: SN2903 on May 18, 2020, 05:25:40 PM
Saving this one. Measuring the drapes already?

Every Dem Gov in states that matter have 60% approvals: Whitmer of MI 60%  Pritzker IL 60%, Newsom CA 80%, Wolf PA 60%, Bullock MT Senate 60%, Cooper 60% and Laura Kelly 60%, KS Senate race. Evers has a 53% approval

That's the 278 EC map right there
MI polls suck and that poll was 3 weeks ago. No way Whitmer is at 60.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #16 on: May 18, 2020, 06:27:57 PM »
Quote from: President Pericles on May 18, 2020, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: Hammy on May 18, 2020, 03:38:41 PM
Anybody else starting to suspect the GOP is pumping up Biden's numbers in their internal polls to further motivate Republicans and cause Dems to let their guard down?

It seems like the best motivator is for the result to be really close, maybe a narrow Biden lead would work best for that. A landslide margin seems unhelpful for that.

Quite possibly it is to encourage Republicans to invest campaign finances into Senate races that are closer.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #17 on: May 18, 2020, 06:33:57 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on May 18, 2020, 02:43:42 PM
BIDEN 533 TO Trump 5, Trump only wins UT, doesn't pay to ask the Asian lady to go ask China in Covid 19. This poll is funny

 532 to 6.

Nebraska 3 will vote Republican even if the ticket is Kodos/Kang.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #18 on: May 18, 2020, 07:33:47 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on May 18, 2020, 05:25:40 PM
Saving this one. Measuring the drapes already?

Irony alert!
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