CA, OH, TX (Emerson) - Biden +30, Trump +3, Trump +6 (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  CA, OH, TX (Emerson) - Biden +30, Trump +3, Trump +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA, OH, TX (Emerson) - Biden +30, Trump +3, Trump +6  (Read 3402 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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Posts: 44,753


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: May 11, 2020, 05:12:10 PM »

If this Ohio poll is true, Trump loses. Though I think once you adjust polls for usual errors it is around Trump +5 in OH and Trump +4.5ish in TX which still results in a Trump loss as if Trump wins TX by less that 5 he's losing AZ, probably NC and is 50/50 in GA
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,753


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2020, 05:43:36 PM »

Trump winning Texas by 6 would be in line with the excruciatingly slow yet consistent shift of Texas toward the Democrats. Seems inevitable at this point that the margin will be tighter than 2016.

Lizzie Fletcher, Colin Allred, and Beto O'Rourke would disagree with that characterization.

TX-07 and TX-32 voted for Hillary in 2016
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,753


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2020, 05:48:43 PM »

Trump winning Texas by 6 would be in line with the excruciatingly slow yet consistent shift of Texas toward the Democrats. Seems inevitable at this point that the margin will be tighter than 2016.

Lizzie Fletcher, Colin Allred, and Beto O'Rourke would disagree with that characterization.

TX-07 and TX-32 voted for Hillary in 2016

Romney won TX-07 by 21 points in 2012. Fletcher beat an incumbent by 5 points 6 years later.

Romney won TX-32 by 16 points in 2012. Allred beat an incumbent by 6 points 6 years later.

Just excruciating

I think they are meaning from 2016 not from 2012 . From 2012 of course its been massive
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