TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,776
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« on: May 06, 2020, 12:08:38 PM » |
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Gardner is probably toast (definitely if it's Hickenlooper), but the filing deadline has passed and there are no other Republican candidates (though I suppose the state party could endorse a Libertarian or independent).
That said, these leads are unprecedented and may be outliers (which is why I'm not prepared to mark CO as safe D at the presidential level until I see a third with a really healthy lead, Microsoft's opt-in MRP discounted). The previous polls for the Senate race are in 2019, but in the presidential race, we have one more from 2020: Feb 15-19, Climate Nexus: Biden 46 - Trump 43. This is almost safe D, but writing CO off as safe because of two April/May polls from firms that don't have brilliant 538 ratings is something I'm not prepared to do.
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