CO-KOM: Biden +20

[Skye]

Biden 55
Trump 35

The KOM Colorado Statewide Voter Poll, based on a sample of online surveys of 600 likely Colorado voters, was conducted May 1-3 by Telluride-based Keating Research and Denver-based OnSight Public Affairs and Melanson. The firms all paid for the poll. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4%.

https://www.coloradopolitics.com/quick-hits/new-colorado-poll-shows-hickenlooper-widening-double-digit-lead-over-gardner/article_a3ce89ec-8f9b-11ea-8374-cb87df3f5a13.html

[Holmes]

I wonder if Colorado will vote to the left of New Mexico.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I thought the MSU Bozeman poll was a bit of an outlier and will wait for a similar result from one more polling firm, but it's starting to look like Colorado is definitely Safe rather than Likely D, both at the presidential level and at the senatorial level (irrespective of who the Senate nominee is).

[Lief 🗽]

Wow, I actually kind of thought the MSU poll might be trash, but nice to have confirmation.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

You love to see it folks!

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

CO has had enough.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

If you compare to the last iteration of this poll, it's likely that Trump's bottom fell out due to COVID. Gardner lost six points but Hickenlooper only gained one; most of those undecideds will probably come back to Gardner, and nearly all of the undecideds here are going to come back to Trump.

Interestingly you're seeing the opposite with Polis. Polis gained 15 points in approval since the last poll and only lost five points in disapproval. Trends right now suggest a lot of incumbent D governors should be titanium.

I wonder if Colorado will vote to the left of New Mexico.

Could be. Pearce and Stapelton both topped out at 43% last year and Polis only ran three points behind Grisham. I think you could potentially have a larger rural surge with a smaller college educated swing to offset it in New Mexico.

[wbrocks67]

Holy sh**t. I thought the other one was insane, but the bottom really is falling out for Trump, and this is during Biden's MJ-Reade-introduced to the public weekend.

I mean, CO +20 sync up with Biden being nearly +10 nationwide (per Monmouth)

[wbrocks67]

This pollster has a good track record, too:

Just before the 2016 election, a poll conducted by Keating, Onsight and another consulting firm found Clinton leading in Colorado by 5%, accurately calling her winning margin. A poll by the same firms just before the 2018 election suggested Polis was ahead by 8 percentage points in the gubernatorial race, which he went on to win by 10.6%.

[Tender Branson]

Keating Research is a very good pollster.

Trump will go down hard in CO.

[Mr. Illini]

LOL Gardner's gonna get Blanched big time

Freedom State!

[Tender Branson]

Wow, I actually kind of thought the MSU poll might be trash, but nice to have confirmation.

Microsoft’s poll actually also confirms it: Biden+19 (April 30 wave of polling)

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls

Was Biden+10, +11 and +12 in their March 1, 15 and 30 polling waves.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Wow, I actually kind of thought the MSU poll might be trash, but nice to have confirmation.

Microsoft’s poll actually also confirms it: Biden+19 (April 30 wave of polling)

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls

Was Biden+10, +11 and +12 in their March 1, 15 and 30 polling waves.

Microsoft's is an opt-in online poll used for MRP, so their figures aren't really reliable.

[Tender Branson]

Wow, I actually kind of thought the MSU poll might be trash, but nice to have confirmation.

Microsoft’s poll actually also confirms it: Biden+19 (April 30 wave of polling)

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls

Was Biden+10, +11 and +12 in their March 1, 15 and 30 polling waves.

Microsoft's is an opt-in online poll used for MRP, so their figures aren't really reliable.

I know, but still good to see 3 different polls with Biden+20 leads (one of them a high quality pollster).

[The Mikado]

Move CO from Likely D to Safe D, IMO.

[jeron]

No

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I could see NV being won by Biden by a very meh margin of 3-5 points, while winning CO by 12+. NV is a working class state while CO is much more college educated. NV seems to be static long term because of the countervailing trends of working class but also heavily minority.

If Biden is winning CO by 20 points, imagine the blowout margins he also must be getting in Denton, Collin, Fort Bend, Cobb and Gwinnett counties.

[President Johnson]

I wonder if Colorado will vote to the left of New Mexico.

I don't think so. I actually believe Joe Biden could come close to 60% in New Mexico. Trump falling below 40% in that state would definitely not be surprise at all. He will be in the low 40s in Colorado and Joe Biden in the mid 50s.

[ProudModerate2]

Should be reasonably winnable by Biden, but not that safe.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Colorado voting like a northeastern (non-Atlas Talk Elections) blue state! I love it! I'll feel weird if it ends up voting to New Jersey's left though.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Colorado President by KOM on 2020-05-03

Summary: D: 55%, R: 36%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Alben Barkley]

Colorado is already one of the most beautiful states I've ever been to. And it's rapidly becoming one of the most politically based too. Polis is a great governor, Bennet is a great senator, Hickenlooper will be great too. Honestly if I could pick any state to move to, it would be high up on the list.

Hell, I'm even starting to like "Rocky Mountain High" better than "Take Me Home, Country Roads."

Friendship ended with West Virginia. Now Colorado is my new best friend. Better mountains anyway, and most of the stuff John Denver sings about West Virginia is actually in the also more politically based Virginia.

[I’m not Stu]

RIP Cory Gardner.

[Clarence Boddicker]

Safe R

[American2020]

Ouch !!!!

This could be the worst correction for a sitting president nationwide since 1932 or 1980.

2016 Colorado
Clinton: 48.16%
Trump: 43.25%