Iowa-PPP: Trump +2 (user search)
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  Iowa-PPP: Trump +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa-PPP: Trump +2  (Read 3121 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: May 04, 2020, 08:40:34 AM »

Didnt MT Treasurer say that Iowa would be the last state to flip after OH and TX? No it's not, tossup
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2020, 09:29:56 AM »

Voters don't believe Biden is a sexist, but he did touch females inappropriately. KS is very similar to IA, both trended Dem in 2018, Reynolds only won by 3 points while Kelly won by a hair. CO plus KS or IA, without Va, which is a Dem state, gives Dems 272
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2020, 03:28:07 PM »

Ernst won in 2014 due to Brandstand's popularity and Kim Reynolds too, Grassley helped Trump win IA in 2016, due to his long tenure in the Senate. Ernst is a Freshman and Dems have 3/4 Congressional seats in IA and on way to a 4th, King can lose
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2020, 09:04:50 PM »

Agree, MT Treasurer needs to stop IA is safe R, it only turned R in 2014 and Tom Harkin had long tenure in Senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2020, 06:19:10 AM »

Many Rs still dont believe we arent in a 3.5 percent unemployment, we are in a 20 percent unemployment and Conventional wisdom of a 278 EC map that was there before the Recession isnt there anymore. That's why SN2903 was banned because he kept saying Trump is still favored for reelection and he isnt


We arent in a normal election cycle, that's why Iowa is trending D, so many warehouse workers in meatpacking in Iowa cant work

MT Treasurer still believes Iowa is a permanent R state and Tom Harkin had long tenure as a D and Ernst is just a freshman and not Grassley whom won easily. Greenfield and Franken arent Patty Judge that Grassley beat in 2016, either
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2020, 11:22:04 PM »

Many Rs still dont believe we arent in a 3.5 percent unemployment, we are in a 20 percent unemployment and Conventional wisdom of a 278 EC map that was there before the Recession isnt there anymore. That's why SN2903 was banned because he kept saying Trump is still favored for reelection and he isnt


We arent in a normal election cycle, that's why Iowa is trending D, so many warehouse workers in meatpacking in Iowa cant work

MT Treasurer still believes Iowa is a permanent R state and Tom Harkin had long tenure as a D and Ernst is just a freshman and not Grassley whom won easily. Greenfield and Franken arent Patty Judge that Grassley beat in 2016, either

SN2903 was also banned for being a authoritarian hack posting nut maps.

Wish him well, he will be disappointed just like Ds were after 2016, Trump isnt winning this election
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