TX-GOV 2022: If TX GOP loses here, what next?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

If you look at the Issues driving Texans right now it is the BORDER and Beto has No Plan at all to stop this Migration.

The most important Issue(s) are the Border and Inflation.

Republicans will not lose Texas. Beto had his chance in 2018. This will not be like 2018. Abbott ain't as unpopular as Cruz was.

What has Abbott done to stop it? He's been governor since 2015 and it's only gotten worse?

It's Joe Biden & Kamalas Fault particularly Harris. She was supposed to look at the Border.

O'Rourke wants AMNESTY for everyone crossing the border illegally. That is nuts.

Under O'Rourke no one would be vetted crossing into the border. Texas has a gazillion of cartels, drug dealers bringing harm to border communities.

So if it's the President's fault, what does the governor's race have to do with it?

[dw93]

Abbott is still on track to win, but this will likely end up being the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006. If this were a Trump midterm, Abbott would likely be toast.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Abbott is still on track to win, but this will likely end up being the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006. If this were a Trump midterm, Abbott would likely be toast.

It doesn't matter if it's a Trump midterm it's still a 303 map it's gonna take a long time for MI, PA and WI to go R again and it will be difficult for TX to go D

The difference between 2010/14 and Today is Walker, Corbett and Synder won and Ds Evers, Shapiro and Whitmer are favorites

But upsets do happen AK and NY 19 went D with Biden JA low ratings so anything can happen on Eday

I even thought we were gonna lose both of them, but our superior VBM exceeds Rs

[Real Texan Politics]

Abbott is still on track to win, but this will likely end up being the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006. If this were a Trump midterm, Abbott would likely be toast.

Abbott would still win even if Trump was re-elected, but maybe by a margin of like 6% rather than 10-15.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Data 4 Progress has it 50/45 Abbott not 60/40 Abbott is not winning by 20 pts, I am still watching TX and FL Ds are still are I know Rs thinks it's over and I blame Biden for having a broken border policy but it's still 5 weeks till Eday it's not over yet, even if we lose TX and FL, UT, NC, OH and WI are all very close and so is NV and we're gonna win PA, AZ and GA anyways Cook and Sabato have them D

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1582009390445473795

This is the grimmest thing I've seen in a while...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Abbott and DeSantis and DeWine are safe

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Abbott is still on track to win, but this will likely end up being the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006. If this were a Trump midterm, Abbott would likely be toast.

Abbott would still win even if Trump was re-elected, but maybe by a margin of like 6% rather than 10-15.

What? 2022 would be an absolute Democratic tsunami if Trump won.

[Southern Reactionary Dem]

Abbott is still on track to win, but this will likely end up being the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006. If this were a Trump midterm, Abbott would likely be toast.

Abbott would still win even if Trump was re-elected, but maybe by a margin of like 6% rather than 10-15.

There's a lot of unjustified Dem hopium around Beto. Given the way the national environment is moving very rapidly towards Rs, I don't really think anything less than a 10 point Abbott win is in the cards the way things stand at this moment. I'm sticking with my 12 point prediction though it could easily get slightly better or worse for Beto in the next 20 days.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Abbott is still on track to win, but this will likely end up being the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006. If this were a Trump midterm, Abbott would likely be toast.

Abbott would still win even if Trump was re-elected, but maybe by a margin of like 6% rather than 10-15.

There's a lot of unjustified Dem hopium around Beto. Given the way the national environment is moving very rapidly towards Rs, I don't really think anything less than a 10 point Abbott win is in the cards the way things stand at this moment. I'm sticking with my 12 point prediction though it could easily get slightly better or worse for Beto in the next 20 days.

You wouldn't know it reading the Texas 2022 threads on here. 95% of those (and this one) are just folks going on ad nauseum about how Beto is going to lose.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1582009390445473795

This is the grimmest thing I've seen in a while...

Is this really the smartest thing to send to parents right before an election?

https://twitter.com/iamofdaniel/status/1582404936502870019?s=20&t=hJE5GqpWWJ...

[GeorgiaModerate]

If Beto somehow pulls the upset, that will be the reason why. 

[bagelman]

I'm sticking with my metaphorical guns regarding a mid single digit win for Abbott. I'm not convinced that the Trends will come to a screeching halt to allow Abbott a 2018 or 2014 style win. Beto is unlikely to actually win of course, but Texas is not Arkansas.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

It's bad politics for Abbott to pass a law undermining Second Amendment rights (in the eyes of his base at least) through the legislature. He at least understands what his base wants.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX and FL flips if Ds won the H that's the probability, there is no way TX and FL flips if Ds fail in Winnipeg the H but anything is possible

[PoliticsWatcher1]

Abbott will win comfortably.

My eyes are scorching from this hot take

I wasn’t wrong though.