5-2 Minnesota DFL gerrymander (user search)
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  5-2 Minnesota DFL gerrymander (search mode)
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Author Topic: 5-2 Minnesota DFL gerrymander  (Read 519 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: May 01, 2020, 04:43:11 PM »



2016 Presidential results:


2018 Governor:


2018 Attorney General:
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2020, 05:01:06 PM »

07 is just too horrendously ugly for me to be okay with.

It's either that or a third R seat.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2020, 05:16:08 PM »

Honestly the 4th is the ugliest and worst seat from a CoI perspective. You could at least argue the 7th is a Lake Superior/St. Croix River CoI.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2020, 05:35:48 PM »

07 is just too horrendously ugly for me to be okay with.

It's either that or a third R seat.

BTW if you think Peterson survives 2020 why not


This moves it to Trump 59.5 and Clinton 33.5 or like 5 points bluer than his current district.

Obama even won it in 08 Tongue

Peterson is too old to really care about though even if he wasn't so right-wing.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2020, 09:37:20 PM »

So I redid the 7th to add Bemidji and the Red Lake Reservation and lost some exurban territory. That pushed all the DFL office numbers up about a point.

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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2020, 10:15:34 PM »

If you're going to gerrymander like that, why leave one very strongly Democratic district? Pair Minneapolis with some super-Republican areas instead and get that seat to D+10 or something.
That's exactly what I did.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #6 on: May 02, 2020, 01:09:03 AM »

I unpacked MN-5 a bit and thus brought MN-04 above 57% Hillary of the two party vote.

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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #7 on: May 02, 2020, 12:32:59 PM »

So I revised it a bit further, unpacked MN-05 a bit more, and attached the Mankato tail to the third instead of the second. Now the second was able to take in another tail from Rochester to Austin and all of Bloomington, while losing Prior Lake (heavily Republican exurb.)




2016 President:


2018 Governor:


2018 Attorney General:
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #8 on: May 02, 2020, 12:33:55 PM »

On a side note the unpacking of MN-05 here means that Ilhan Omar might not be happy because while even she can't be beaten in a Hillary around 65% district, she would be more vulnerable in the primary especially as even the Democrats in the added more conservative areas aren't going to be prone to her. However the answer to the question of "Will legislative insiders give a sh!t about Ilhan Omar?" is definitely "No".
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