Why current trends won’t last past 2028 (user search)
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  Why current trends won’t last past 2028 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why current trends won’t last past 2028  (Read 2297 times)
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,663
United States


« on: May 01, 2020, 10:30:30 AM »

If the assumption is "Large cities, diverse areas, and college towns VS everything else"  then states like CT, DE, FL, MI, and MN probably will never become solid R,  they'll probably be the new era's swing states if anything.   

That basically leaves the GOP trading AZ, GA, and TX for PA, WI, ME, NH, and maybe RI.

Post-reapportionment, that works out to the GOP losing 69 EV's and gaining 40 based on current predictions.   

That would give Democrats 271 EV's in "safe" states post-reapportionment.
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