Los Angeles County redistricting

[SevenEleven]

Is Panetta in the SLO district?

Panetta probably runs in the beige district.

[I’m not Stu]

Who takes the SLO district?

[SevenEleven]

Who takes the SLO district?

Bill Monning probably defeats Abel Maldonado by a larger margin than its D+6 PVI suggests.

[I’m not Stu]

Who takes the SLO district?

Bill Monning probably defeats Abel Maldonado by a larger margin than its D+6 PVI suggests.

Should Catalina Island be in CA-24, CA-26, or CA-33?

[SevenEleven]

Who takes the SLO district?

Bill Monning probably defeats Abel Maldonado by a larger margin than its D+6 PVI suggests.

Should Catalina Island be in CA-24, CA-26, or CA-33?

Maybe 26

[I’m not Stu]

How much would Quirk-Silva/Nguyen/Chaffee beat Mathews by in a potential runoff?

[SevenEleven]

How much would Quirk-Silva/Nguyen/Chaffee beat Mathews by in a potential runoff?

They probably face each other in a run off, Mathews has no chance

[I’m not Stu]

How much would Quirk-Silva/Nguyen/Chaffee beat Mathews by in a potential runoff?

They probably face each other in a run off, Mathews has no chance

I thought CA-47 was D+5.5, making the runoff most likely D vs. R. Is that correct?

[SevenEleven]

How much would Quirk-Silva/Nguyen/Chaffee beat Mathews by in a potential runoff?

They probably face each other in a run off, Mathews has no chance

I thought CA-47 was D+5.5, making the runoff most likely D vs. R. Is that correct?

It depends on what kind of candidate the Republicans can find and how much their votes split.

[I’m not Stu]

How much would Quirk-Silva/Nguyen/Chaffee beat Mathews by in a potential runoff?

They probably face each other in a run off, Mathews has no chance

I thought CA-47 was D+5.5, making the runoff most likely D vs. R. Is that correct?

It depends on what kind of candidate the Republicans can find and how much their votes split.

Who would be the more likely GOP nominee, Steve Jones or Amy Phan West?

[SevenEleven]

How much would Quirk-Silva/Nguyen/Chaffee beat Mathews by in a potential runoff?

They probably face each other in a run off, Mathews has no chance

I thought CA-47 was D+5.5, making the runoff most likely D vs. R. Is that correct?

It depends on what kind of candidate the Republicans can find and how much their votes split.

Who would be the more likely GOP nominee, Steve Jones or Amy Phan West?

Idk. I wonder who runs in the Huntington Park-East LA-El Monte district. Roybal-Allard and Napolitano are both way old, maybe one or both step aside. Certainly has more of Roybal-Allard's territory.

[SevenEleven]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

[I’m not Stu]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

[SevenEleven]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

[I’m not Stu]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

Is that the district with the hypothetical D vs. D race you’r referring to?

[SevenEleven]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

Is that the district with the hypothetical D vs. D race you’r referring to?

Yeah, the East LA-El Monte district.

[I’m not Stu]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

Is that the district with the hypothetical D vs. D race you’r referring to?

Yeah, the East LA-El Monte district.

El Monte mayor Andre Quintero is preparing to run. Would Tea Party nobody Amy Phan West or moderate mayor Steve Jones be CA-47’s GOP nominee?

[SevenEleven]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

Is that the district with the hypothetical D vs. D race you’r referring to?

Yeah, the East LA-El Monte district.

El Monte mayor Andre Quintero is preparing to run. Would conservative nobody Amy Phan West or moderate mayor Steve Jones be CA-47’s GOP nominee?

I don't think either of them stand a chance, maybe Steve Jones but probably not. It could be D vs D or Young Kim depending on the results of the upcoming election.

[I’m not Stu]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

Is that the district with the hypothetical D vs. D race you’r referring to?

Yeah, the East LA-El Monte district.

El Monte mayor Andre Quintero is preparing to run. Would conservative nobody Amy Phan West or moderate mayor Steve Jones be CA-47’s GOP nominee?

I don't think either of them stand a chance, maybe Steve Jones but probably not. It could be D vs D or Young Kim depending on the results of the upcoming election.

Isn’t it D+5.5, meaning more likely a D victory against an R in a runoff, especially if the GOP field isn’t divided?

[SevenEleven]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

Is that the district with the hypothetical D vs. D race you’r referring to?

Yeah, the East LA-El Monte district.

El Monte mayor Andre Quintero is preparing to run. Would conservative nobody Amy Phan West or moderate mayor Steve Jones be CA-47’s GOP nominee?

I don't think either of them stand a chance, maybe Steve Jones but probably not. It could be D vs D or Young Kim depending on the results of the upcoming election.

Isn’t it D+5.5, meaning more likely a D victory against an R in a runoff, especially if the GOP field isn’t divided?

Yeah but I think it's moving pretty rapidly and the Republican candidates and brand are uninspiring.

[I’m not Stu]

Who do you think takes that district if it's open? Surely it will be a D vs D run-off.

In CA32/40?

I would consider it CA 40 since CA 32 basically doesn't exist anymore.

Is that the district with the hypothetical D vs. D race you’r referring to?

Yeah, the East LA-El Monte district.

El Monte mayor Andre Quintero is preparing to run. Would conservative nobody Amy Phan West or moderate mayor Steve Jones be CA-47’s GOP nominee?

I don't think either of them stand a chance, maybe Steve Jones but probably not. It could be D vs D or Young Kim depending on the results of the upcoming election.

Isn’t it D+5.5, meaning more likely a D victory against an R in a runoff, especially if the GOP field isn’t divided?

Yeah but I think it's moving pretty rapidly and the Republican candidates and brand are uninspiring.

Who would the CA-47 runoff probably be with this field of candidates?

Democrats:
Diedre Nguyen
Sharon Quirk-Silva
Doug Chaffee
Sergio Contreras
Peter Mathews

Republicans:
Steve Jones
Amy Phan West
John Briscoe

[SevenEleven]

Nguyen vs either Jones or Quirk-Silva

[I’m not Stu]

Nguyen vs either Jones or Quirk-Silva

Contreras (Westminster councilman) might siphon cotes from Quirk-Silva. Nguyen vs. Jones maybe?

[SevenEleven]

Nguyen vs either Jones or Quirk-Silva

Contreras (Westminster councilman) might siphon cotes from Quirk-Silva. Nguyen vs. Jones maybe?

Janet Nguyen probably would be a better R candidate than Steve Jones. Do you work for him? I don't think he is Congress material.

[SevenEleven]

Nguyen vs either Jones or Quirk-Silva

Contreras (Westminster councilman) might siphon cotes from Quirk-Silva. Nguyen vs. Jones maybe?

Janet Nguyen probably would be a better R candidate than Steve Jones. Do you work for him? I don't think he is Congress material.

Is Janet Nguyen a moderate?

No but she's not a boring nobody either. Is Steve Jones a moderate?