NC- SUSA: Cunningham +2
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Author Topic: NC- SUSA: Cunningham +2  (Read 2187 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: April 28, 2020, 05:36:55 PM »

https://www.wral.com/coronavirus/wral-poll-pandemic-becoming-factor-in-fall-elections/19075477/

Cunningham- 41
Tillis- 39
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2020, 05:45:14 PM »

Tillis won't win
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2020, 06:01:05 PM »

NC is Dems' third Senate flip confirmed.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2020, 06:16:46 PM »

My prediction right now is 50-48 Cunningham.
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2016
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« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2020, 06:17:06 PM »

Tillis WILL WIN! Cunningham only up 2 is not great at all here.

NC-SEN: Republican-HOLD confirmed!
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Holmes
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« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2020, 06:47:47 PM »

Tillis WILL WIN! Cunningham only up 2 is not great at all here.

NC-SEN: Republican-HOLD confirmed!

luv 2 b an incumbent at 39% 6 months out
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2020, 07:04:48 PM »

Tillis WILL WIN! Cunningham only up 2 is not great at all here.

NC-SEN: Republican-HOLD confirmed!

luv 2 b an incumbent at 39% 6 months out

#CUNNINGHAMUNDER42%
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2020, 07:33:46 PM »

This same poll has Biden up 5 and Cooper up 27, so itís not that great of a poll for Cunningham. Still though, Tillis is obviously quite vulnerable.
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morgieb
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« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2020, 07:36:13 PM »

Yeah there's the significant caveat of this being a Dem-friendly poll.

Tillis's numbers look alarming though even if Cunningham's aren't that good.
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Pollster
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« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2020, 08:59:18 PM »
« Edited: April 28, 2020, 09:04:28 PM by Pollster »

GOP establishment didnít know what they were doing when they were scaring off Tillisí wealthy primary challenger.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #10 on: April 29, 2020, 01:17:53 AM »

GOP establishment didnít know what they were doing when they were scaring off Tillisí wealthy primary challenger.

If Trump is really losing NC by 5 (a big if for sure) to Biden, I 'm not certain that Mark Walker would have been able to save this seat for the GOP. 
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #11 on: April 29, 2020, 09:32:37 AM »

Considering this poll has Biden up 5 and Cooper 27 (outlier), this is more of a name rec poll. Tillis not clearing 40% here is troubling for him, but Cunningham running behind Biden and Cooper by this margin isn't too good either. Pure tossup.
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Blair
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« Reply #12 on: April 29, 2020, 09:48:28 AM »

Considering this poll has Biden up 5 and Cooper 27 (outlier), this is more of a name rec poll. Tillis not clearing 40% here is troubling for him, but Cunningham running behind Biden and Cooper by this margin isn't too good either. Pure tossup.

Isn't cunningham completely unknown & the type of candiate parties use to win Senate seats purely through a good tide?
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Pollster
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« Reply #13 on: April 29, 2020, 09:49:00 AM »

GOP establishment didnít know what they were doing when they were scaring off Tillisí wealthy primary challenger.

If Trump is really losing NC by 5 (a big if for sure) to Biden, I 'm not certain that Mark Walker would have been able to save this seat for the GOP. 

Was talking about Garland Tucker, but my comment was largely facetious (I would never use the word "establishment" in a serious political analysis).
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #14 on: April 29, 2020, 09:57:42 AM »

Considering this poll has Biden up 5 and Cooper 27 (outlier), this is more of a name rec poll. Tillis not clearing 40% here is troubling for him, but Cunningham running behind Biden and Cooper by this margin isn't too good either. Pure tossup.

Isn't cunningham completely unknown & the type of candiate parties use to win Senate seats purely through a good tide?

He did equal or better than Biden in other polls, though. Obviously, we need to see more as the election nears.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #15 on: April 29, 2020, 06:51:54 PM »

Too many undecideds and potentially too friendly to Democrats, however Cunningham doesn't seem like he is as weak of a candidate as some may have thought. Simultaneously, Tillis isn't unbeatable. This race is indeed a tossup, and maybe Cooper's re-election (which looks likely) can help Cunningham pull of a victory and make Tillis succumb to the one-term curse of this seat (the Helms hex?).
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Jay (D-NC)
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« Reply #16 on: April 29, 2020, 08:33:48 PM »

Too many undecideds and potentially too friendly to Democrats, however Cunningham doesn't seem like he is as weak of a candidate as some may have thought. Simultaneously, Tillis isn't unbeatable. This race is indeed a tossup, and maybe Cooper's re-election (which looks likely) can help Cunningham pull of a victory and make Tillis succumb to the one-term curse of this seat (the Helms hex?).

There usually isn't coattails going up the ballot from Governor
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #17 on: April 30, 2020, 03:01:23 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Survey USA on 2020-04-26

Summary: D: 41%, R: 39%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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The Address That Must Not be Named
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« Reply #18 on: April 30, 2020, 03:59:52 PM »

Tillis has not led in a single poll this cycle
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #19 on: April 30, 2020, 11:43:26 PM »

Show me a poll with Tillis at 41% in November, then well talk. But we have a good shot here
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