Bold 2020 Predictions

[TDAS04]

-West Virginia is Trump’s best state
-NE-2 votes to the left of any 2016 Trump state
-Iowa will be closer than Minnesota
-The three closest states will be FL, GA, and NC (with only NC going to Trump).
-Michigan will be the tipping point
-Alaska will be in single digits

[Tekken_Guy]

Most of COVID-19 crisis is over by Election Day
Democrats win 4 Senate seats - Arizona, Colorado, Maine, North Carolina - and lose Alabama - giving them 50-50
but Trump is re-elected very narrowly and still loses the popular vote
Democrats do very well down-ballot despite losing the big one
The election is closer than 2016 was, with more new swing states for 2022 and 2024

Tillis will likely be re-elected if Trump wins the presidency. I’m assuming Mi and PA are the only flips in your scenario.

[Tekken_Guy]

MN votes to the right of the nation
Wisconsin votes narrowly GOP again, and votes substantially to the right of the nation
Doug Jones wins surprisingly in Alabama
Richard Ojeda loses senate election in single digits
Cornyn's election is called immediately
Texas is not close at all. And Trump wins by more than 5 points
Trump's margin will be cut heavily in Montana & Kansas, by more than 10 points
Alaska ends up being close, for both senatorial & presidential level
ME-2 goes to Biden
Bullock wins senate race in Montana
Bollier wins senate race in Kansas
Two Democratic new senators of Georgia join the group
Cooper wins by 5, Tillis loses by almost 0, Trump wins by 2.
Iowa votes to the right of Nebraska (and overtakes KS, MT, SC, AL, MO and MS). Ernst wins by 20
Trump overperforms GOP senators by a lot in many states. I expect a senate bloodbath

assuming covid-19 is the nail in the coffin for Trump

The map

Doug Jones winning? Iowa voting Trumo by 30? What happened?

[LAKISYLVANIA]

MN votes to the right of the nation
Wisconsin votes narrowly GOP again, and votes substantially to the right of the nation
Doug Jones wins surprisingly in Alabama
Richard Ojeda loses senate election in single digits
Cornyn's election is called immediately
Texas is not close at all. And Trump wins by more than 5 points
Trump's margin will be cut heavily in Montana & Kansas, by more than 10 points
Alaska ends up being close, for both senatorial & presidential level
ME-2 goes to Biden
Bullock wins senate race in Montana
Bollier wins senate race in Kansas
Two Democratic new senators of Georgia join the group
Cooper wins by 5, Tillis loses by almost 0, Trump wins by 2.
Iowa votes to the right of Nebraska (and overtakes KS, MT, SC, AL, MO and MS). Ernst wins by 20
Trump overperforms GOP senators by a lot in many states. I expect a senate bloodbath

assuming covid-19 is the nail in the coffin for Trump

The map

Doug Jones winning? Iowa voting Trumo by 30? What happened?

No Iowa voting by 10-15 for Trump. The other states i mentioned will be closer, and Ernst overperforms Trump. Jones is a stretch, but maybe it's wishful thinking. I think he can make it into a nail biter.

And bold predictions, yes, i'm not good in them.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

WI isnt voting to the right of AZ, FL, someone missed the judgeship election that the Dems won

[Skill and Chance]

What are bold predictions for the 2020 election?

These are mine:
-Biden will do better than expected in MT. Maybe Biden Trump+12
-VA votes to the left of NM. CO votes to the right of VA but the left of NM
-Trump solidifies IA as safe Red territory, Ernst wins easily
-VT will be closer than expected but obviously won't come close to flipping
-MN votes to the right of MI
-Collins wins the senate race in ME by a decent margin
-FL is lean Biden
-NH is very close even in a Biden landslide
-NC votes only 2 points to the right of the country
-Doug Jones doesn't do much better than Biden in AL
-Jeanne Shaheen, Gary Peters, and Jeanne Shaheen have close races.
-Mark Kelly wins pretty handily
-MO and IA vote for Trump by a simillar margin
-Sullivan has a close call in the AK senate race
-The house is closer than expected. Ds lose rural districts mostly like Petersen in MN, and 2 IA districts
-Trump kicks Pence off the ballot shortly after Biden choses a VP. Trump choses a woman like Nikki Haley
-A red state senate Democrat dies/retires/switches parties making the Dems path to a senate majority very difficult

Sorry that's a lot

Agree with all of the bolded ones.  If Florida is lean Biden and Mark Kelly is winning by a large margin implying Biden won AZ, do you think the overall election is lean Biden?  However, you have given other indications of a better than 2016 Trump blowout in the Midwest/Rust Belt.  Trump could still win this way, but it leaves no margin for error:

[Politician]

This Safe R Iowa narrative is insane. That Selzer poll really changed your minds that much? It was supposed to be a hyper competitive swing state before that and now it's basically Wets Virginia.

[Skill and Chance]

OK, here we go:

Biden/Duckworth 270 EV 48.8%
Trump/Pence 268 EV 49.1%

On December 31st, the US Supreme Court rules: 1. that a state law allocating some of its EVs by congressional district is constitutional (9/0), 2. that a 2nd recount in progress in The Villages and several rural counties in North Florida violates Biden's equal protection rights under the same rationale as Bush v. Gore and must cease (6/3) 3. that 41,000 disputed ballots in Gwinnett County, GA were properly rejected. (6/3) 4. that 133,000 disputed ballots from Mecklenburg, Buncombe, and Wake counties in NC were properly rejected (6/3).  4. that the state legislature of Florida may not retroactively assign electors to their preferred candidate to resolve a disputed outcome after first holding a statewide vote to choose them (6/3).  It is widely speculated that Justice Kagan cut a deal with Justice Kavanaugh to avoid a 5/4 ruling on any of the election disputes.   

Trump's 3,903 vote win in GA, Trump's 36,531 vote win in NC, and Biden's crucial 3,204 vote win in Florida all stand.  Biden's surprisingly weak performance on the West Coast is widely discussed. 

[S019ian Liberal]

Florida votes to the left of the 270th EC vote.

- Jeanne Shaheen, Gary Peters, and Jeanne Shaheen have close races.

Lol, as it turns out neither Shaheen or Shaheen's competitive were.

[S019ian Liberal]

Pennsylvania will vote completely to the left of the tipping point (as it did in 2016)

Otherwise, it will be completely to the right. I just can't see it being the TPS again this time around (even as close as it came last year) despite that.

[S019ian Liberal]

No state ends up voting within a margin of the 2.5-3%.

[Torrain]

There's at least one Indiana 2008/Michigan 2016 style shock.

[Tekken_Guy]

There's at least one Indiana 2008/Michigan 2016 style shock.

I got my Buckeye on that one.

[Horus]

Ossoff runs ahead of Biden.

[S019ian Liberal]

Was so accurate even the stars aligned for you!