Which of these “reach” seats can Dems flip in another Trump midterm?

[Tekken_Guy]

If Trump is re-elected in 2020, which of these normally unwinnable seats do Democrats have a chance of picking up in 2022 in a “Tsunami” night for them?

[Jamison5]

I picked Missouri because Blunt did poorly in 2016, though Missouri has been dramatically trending red for the last 20 years.

[PAK Man]

Alaska - if Democrats can get a consensus candidate that won't split the vote three ways - and Missouri for sure. MAYBE Indiana in the right environment, but that's a big maybe.

Side note: did you know Lisa Murkowski has never won a senate race with more than 48% of the vote? The 2016 race was a bizarre one where the Libertarian and independent got more votes than the Democrat, but all three of them combined were more votes than Murkowski. Honestly, I don't think a majority of Alaskans actually like her - she just benefits from split candidate fields and Alaska's GOP lean.

[Jay 🏳️‍⚧️]

Alaska, Kansas, and South Carolina

Alaska is the most flippable of the bunch. It has a large Native population that leans Democrat and boosting turnout in Anchorage and mitigating losses in Fairbanks can set up a potential win for them.

Kansas is a bit trickier, but a Dem won the gubernatorial race in 2018 and a Trump midterm against a bad candidate can push them to another win.

South Carolina is a bit of a stretch honestly, but juicing turnout in Columbia and in the rural, Democratic areas and being competitive in the suburbs can be the key to victory

[Frenchrepublican]

Alaska is possible especially if the right wing vote is divided between Murkowski and some other libertarian or conservative independant candidates. MO could be closer than expected, but the hard right trends combined to the fact that Roy Blunt would probably take his race more seriously than last time should be enough to assure his reelection. All the others are pipe dreams.

Young, Scott and Moran are absolutely safe, those who think they would lose, even in a Trump midterm, should get their head examined.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Just Alaska, and that would probably require Murkowski to split the vote with someone more conservative

Louisiana wouldn’t be winnable even if Edwards ran. Missouri and Indiana are safe now at the federal level

[SnowLabrador]

None of them.

[here2view]

Alaska and then Kansas

[Orser67]

I think a second Trump mid-term could get pretty brutal, so I'll say AK+IN+MO. Other states could emerge given a Roy Moore-level nominee

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AK, KS, KY and SC

[Left Wing]

Utah could be a possibility, only if:
-The United Utah Party puts up a very strong conservative candidate
-The Constitution Party gets more than 5% of the vote again
-Ben McAdams runs
-Mike Lee retires

[Coastal Elitist]

lol none of them

[Libertas Vel Mors]

bruh people really being trying to stretch a Trump +15 state to being competitive kek

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

lol none of them

Dr Bollier is leading in KS, and Mark Kelly is leading in red state AZ; consequently,  the 260 red wall is tumbling down just like Trump crashed the 278 blue wall in 2016, this isnt 2016 anymore.

[Coastal Elitist]

lol none of them

Dr Bollier is leading in KS, and Mark Kelly is leading in red state AZ; consequently,  the 260 red wall is tumbling down just like Trump crashed the 278 blue wall in 2016, this isnt 2016 anymore.

Right and Bredesen was leading in Tennessee and for the record I actually believed that he would win. Kansas is Safe R we all know where the undecided votes will go in the end and also Kobach won't be the R nominee. Also the Kansas polls that have been done are all trash because they're all Democratic internal polls

[morgieb]

Voted Alaska and Missouri. Alaska is a weird state with a quasi-Independent as the incumbent and Blunt did awfully in 2016.

[Gracile]

Alaska seems most likely, maybe Kansas and Missouri if Trump's support totally collapses.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

lol none of them

Dr Bollier is leading in KS, and Mark Kelly is leading in red state AZ; consequently,  the 260 red wall is tumbling down just like Trump crashed the 278 blue wall in 2016, this isnt 2016 anymore.

Right and Bredesen was leading in Tennessee and for the record I actually believed that he would win. Kansas is Safe R we all know where the undecided votes will go in the end and also Kobach won't be the R nominee. Also the Kansas polls that have been done are all trash because they're all Democratic internal polls

Dems won Red seats in 2018 too in the House. We picked up seats in TX, IA and FL, red states. That is overlooked by Rs, when they keep bringing up Bredesen


KS is not safe R, the Rs said that KS Gov was safe R too and they lost it, in 2018. You cant overlook Sinema won in red state AZ, and Mark Kelly is leading there too. Not to mention Bullock is far from done

[Yellowhammer]

None of them, though Alaska is most plausible.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

None of them, though Alaska is most plausible.

Still think Dems cant win in Red states and Dems are leading in AZ, NC and tied in KS and MT, Dems will win.

[Xing]

AK and MO are the only ones that seem at all plausible.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Kansas. Not joking. Unless Murkowski is in a three way race between a crazy right winger and a dem, but even then I think the idiots in the dscc would back murkowski