NJ-Monmouth: Biden +16

[Pollster]

Biden 54
Trump 38
Undecided/Other 8

n=635 registered voters, MOE 3.9%

Link

[Bidenworth2020]

Trump underperforming his approval rating (56/41). Anyway, I think Biden probably wins more by something like 57-40.

[LimoLiberal]

There was a twitter thread of #NeverBiden leftists predicting Biden would lose in a massive landslide and they were adamant that Trump was going to win New Jersey

[MT Treasurer]

There was a twitter thread of #NeverBiden leftists predicting Biden would lose in a massive landslide and they were adamant that Trump was going to win New Jersey

To quote the great Cenk Uygur (Nov. 7, 2012): "[T]hey live in a different reality, and so when the real world collides with their made-up world, it leads to confusion."

[Progressive Pessimist]

I think this will be Biden's bare minimum result here. I don't know if he can match or exceed Obama's 18 point margin from 2012, but that's a possibility too. Gloucester County is sure to flip back and I also think it might finally be possible for Morris County to flip. Salem is gone for Democrats though. Trump is despised here in northern New Jersey, but he is slightly more tolerated in some southern parts of the state.

[Lief 🗽]

This should be a big enough margin to hold the seats we picked up in 2018 (minus Van Drew's of course).

[Progressive Pessimist]

This should be a big enough margin to hold the seats we picked up in 2018 (minus Van Drew's of course).

I'm not so sure about Kim's seat. But he definitely isn't out of it.

[cvparty]

why nj so inelastic

[Hollywood]

why nj so inelastic

Corzine. 

[BlueSwan]

Finally a poll of notorious swing state New Jersey.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Finally a poll of notorious swing state New Jersey.

I mean NJ voted for Poppy Bush in 88. It's certainly winnable for Trump in 2020.

[BlueSwan]

Finally a poll of notorious swing state New Jersey.

I mean NJ voted for Poppy Bush in 88. It's certainly winnable for Trump in 2020.

No it isn't. No state that voted for Hillary Clinton by 13 points will be won by Trump in 2020, not even if Biden states on live television two days before the election that he is running for emperor of Rome and the year is 50 B.C.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Finally a poll of notorious swing state New Jersey.

I mean NJ voted for Poppy Bush in 88. It's certainly winnable for Trump in 2020.

No it isn't. No state that voted for Hillary Clinton by 13 points will be won by Trump in 2020, not even if Biden states on live television two days before the election that he is running for emperor of Rome and the year is 50 B.C.

wow this is the (fourth) time this week a satire-laced post of mine was seen as completely serious.

[BlueSwan]

Finally a poll of notorious swing state New Jersey.

I mean NJ voted for Poppy Bush in 88. It's certainly winnable for Trump in 2020.

No it isn't. No state that voted for Hillary Clinton by 13 points will be won by Trump in 2020, not even if Biden states on live television two days before the election that he is running for emperor of Rome and the year is 50 B.C.

wow this is the (fourth) time this week a satire-laced post of mine was seen as completely serious.

It's the internet. You can't assume that people are being satirical when they state something asinine, because very often they are not. Your post was dumb, but it's wasn't such a charicature that it was obviously satirical. I read much dumber stuff that is completely sincere on a daily basis.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Finally a poll of notorious swing state New Jersey.

I mean NJ voted for Poppy Bush in 88. It's certainly winnable for Trump in 2020.

No it isn't. No state that voted for Hillary Clinton by 13 points will be won by Trump in 2020, not even if Biden states on live television two days before the election that he is running for emperor of Rome and the year is 50 B.C.

wow this is the (fourth) time this week a satire-laced post of mine was seen as completely serious.

It's the internet. You can't assume that people are being satirical when they state something asinine, because very often they are not. Your post was dumb, but it's wasn't such a charicature that it was obviously satirical. I read much dumber stuff that is completely sincere on a daily basis.

it depends from person to person; but I love satire and regard it as an excellent vehicle for mockery. If you see what looks like a very asinine post from me at least, just assume it is satirical, sardonic,  and sarcastic.

[BlueSwan]

Finally a poll of notorious swing state New Jersey.

I mean NJ voted for Poppy Bush in 88. It's certainly winnable for Trump in 2020.

No it isn't. No state that voted for Hillary Clinton by 13 points will be won by Trump in 2020, not even if Biden states on live television two days before the election that he is running for emperor of Rome and the year is 50 B.C.

wow this is the (fourth) time this week a satire-laced post of mine was seen as completely serious.

It's the internet. You can't assume that people are being satirical when they state something asinine, because very often they are not. Your post was dumb, but it's wasn't such a charicature that it was obviously satirical. I read much dumber stuff that is completely sincere on a daily basis.

it depends from person to person; but I love satire and regard it as an excellent vehicle for mockery. If you see what looks like a very asinine post from me at least, just assume it is satirical, sardonic,  and sarcastic.

I will try to remember that. While I certainly recognize your username, I am generally terrible at remembering which atlas poster is who exactly and what they have written in the past.