State legislative chambers that could flip (user search)
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  State legislative chambers that could flip (search mode)
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Author Topic: State legislative chambers that could flip  (Read 1280 times)
Orser67
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,947
United States


« on: April 22, 2020, 10:35:41 PM »
« edited: April 24, 2020, 10:38:32 PM by Orser67 »

I haven't seen any discussion on this in a while, so I wanted to started a new thread about the top legislative chamber targets for each party in 2020. I didn't find a whole lot on Google other than this Cook article, which lists D targets (tossup or lean) as:

-AZ Sen, AZ House
-FL Sen
-IA House
-MI House
-MN Senate
-NC Senate
-PA Senate, PA House
-TX House

It lists top R targets as:
-AK House (from a coalition)
-ME Senate
-MN House
-NH House, NH Senate

Agreements/disagreements? The author notes that he came close rating the North Carolina House and the Wisconsin Senate as competitive.
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Orser67
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,947
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2020, 11:34:27 AM »


Yeah, I don't really know the details of each district, but I was surprised the PA House and Senate are both rated as Lean R.

With that said, if this is really a D+6-D+8 year (as some polls currently show), we could see a lot of surprises downballot.
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Orser67
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,947
United States


« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2020, 11:24:46 AM »

Sabato had a guest article on this topic last week from cnalysis. Seems like his predictions match up with a lot of the comments in this thread, e.g. PA Senate and FL Senate aren't listed as competitive (much to my chagrin).

Top D targets are:

-AZ Sen, AZ House
-IA House
-MI House
-MN Senate
-NC Senate, NC House
-PA House
-TX House

It lists top R targets as:
-AK House (from a coalition)
-NH Senate
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