"Hot take" here, but I think Parson is going to underperform Holcomb quite substantially. Probably not by enough to actually lose, but 10+ points is definitely possible.
Really don’t see Parson winning by more than Holcomb.
This.
Nicole Galloway has at least some name recognition as only statewide elected Democrat (of course not as much as Parson), while the Democratic candidate in Indiana (Myers?) is virtually unknown.
The only poll for IN has Holcomb up by 20, while most polls see Parson winning by roundabout 15, although I tend to think that the MO race will be a bit closer.