"Hot take" here, but I think Parson is going to underperform Holcomb quite substantially. Probably not by enough to actually lose, but 10+ points is definitely possible.
Really don’t see Parson winning by more than Holcomb.
Honestly I think Parson wins at least by 5 and I'm being generous to Galloway there.
But Holcomb is running against a nobody so yeah he'll win by 15-20 points.
My guess is about +15 for Holcomb and +7 for Parson
Nah, your numbers are too low.
Holcomb is almost certain to outperform Trump by a few points and even if Parson is likely to run a bit behind Trump he will still win by double digits, the few polls we have give him a double digits leads over his opponent and it's uncommon for MO republicans to run behind their polls numbers