How differently will Indiana and Missouri vote this November? (user search)
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  How differently will Indiana and Missouri vote this November? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How much differently will Indiana and Missouri vote this year?
#1
Missouri 10+ to the left of Indiana		  
#2
Missouri 5-10 to the left of Indiana		  
#3
Missouri 2-5 to the left of Indiana		  
#4
Missouri 0-2 to the left of Indiana		  
#5
Indiana 0-2 to the left of Missouri		  
#6
Indiana 2-5 to the left of Missouri		  
#7
Indiana 5-10 to the left of Missouri		  
#8
Indiana 10+ to the left of Missouri		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 39

Author Topic: How differently will Indiana and Missouri vote this November?  (Read 1733 times)
Lechasseur
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Posts: 10,767


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13
« on: April 21, 2020, 08:15:26 PM »
« edited: April 21, 2020, 08:20:47 PM by Lechasseur »
Quote from: #Solid4096 on April 21, 2020, 06:59:06 PM
Hot take here but I think it will be more than 20 points difference between Indiana and Missouri. Holcomb will probably outrun Trump by a substantial margin while Parson will probably lose.

Lol why?

Galloway is a decent candidate but I don't see why Parson would lose? MO is solid GOP and he's no Greitens.

It seems like Atlas Dems really have waaaay too much faith in the MO Democratic Party. And severely underestimate the MO GOP. This reminds me of all the people who thought McCaskill would win. I never thought for a second she would and I was right.
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Lechasseur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,767


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13
« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2020, 08:17:21 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on April 21, 2020, 05:37:13 PM
"Hot take" here, but I think Parson is going to underperform Holcomb quite substantially. Probably not by enough to actually lose, but 10+ points is definitely possible.

Really don’t see Parson winning by more than Holcomb.

Honestly I think Parson wins at least by 5 and I'm being generous to Galloway there.

But Holcomb is running against a nobody so yeah he'll win by 15-20 points.

My guess is about +15 for Holcomb and +7 for Parson
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Lechasseur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,767


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13
« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2020, 08:21:47 PM »
I voted MO 5-10 points to the left of IN myself, but both will be relatively comfortable victories
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Lechasseur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,767


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.13
« Reply #3 on: April 22, 2020, 04:47:25 AM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on April 22, 2020, 02:39:48 AM
Quote from: Lechasseur on April 21, 2020, 08:17:21 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on April 21, 2020, 05:37:13 PM
"Hot take" here, but I think Parson is going to underperform Holcomb quite substantially. Probably not by enough to actually lose, but 10+ points is definitely possible.

Really don’t see Parson winning by more than Holcomb.

Honestly I think Parson wins at least by 5 and I'm being generous to Galloway there.

But Holcomb is running against a nobody so yeah he'll win by 15-20 points.

My guess is about +15 for Holcomb and +7 for Parson

Nah, your numbers are too low.

Holcomb is almost certain to outperform Trump by a few points and even if Parson is likely to run a bit behind Trump he will still win by double digits, the few polls we have give him a double digits leads over his opponent and it's uncommon for MO republicans to run behind their polls numbers


I was trying to be generous to the Dems, but you're probably right
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