Michigan State House and Senate districts by party

[Dave from Michigan]

The State Senate  (22 republicans-16 democrats)



The State House 58 republicans and 50 democrats 2 vacant both dem seats

[Dave from Michigan]

sorry it's had to tell the districts apart how do I inlarge the images

[muon2]

I hadn't appreciated that the number of house seats in MI is not a multiple of the number of the seante seate (though it's close). It is interesting that MI left the number of seats in both houses the same even though the state constitution's mechanism for assigning them was thrown out by Reynolds v. Sims in 1964.

[Alcon]

I'm assuming colours are inverted here.

[minionofmidas]

You are correct.

Thanks Nine, interesting.

[Dave from Michigan]

If you look at the map it's possible for the democrats to retake the House I will post the most likely to switch seats soon

[Dave from Michigan]

here's the top 17 closest districts (where the race was between 55%-45%)

If anyone cares the Michigan Hous is 58 republicans 50 democrats and 2 vacancy (both vacancies were democratic seats but one of the seats district 56 (listed below) is very close seat.  there will be not special election just the november election winner will be appointed early.  The other vancant seat is Pontiac is very democratic)

the democrats need to pick up 4 of 11 seats (assuming they hold both now vancant seats it's 4 of 11 because one of the  vancant seat which they need to hold is listed below.

11 are republican held 6 are democratic held the democrats need
district  rep.  %        dem      %           discription of district
19th  rep  53.13%   dem   46.87%  (Livonia in Wayne county)
26th  rep  45.16%   dem   49.07% (Royal Oak in Oakland county)
30th   rep  53.85%   dem  46.15% (Sterling Heights in Macomb county)
39th   rep  52.39%   dem  45.32% (Commerce/ West Bloomfield Oakland Co)
51st   rep  54.55%   dem  45.45%  (South Genese county NOT Flint area)

55th   rep  49.68%   dem  50.32%  (the rest of Monroe county)
56th   rep  47.10%   dem  49.11%  (Eastern Monroe county)
61st   rep  54.89%   dem  45.11% (Western Kalamazoo co. and Kalamazoo twp)
62nd  rep  53.37%   dem  46,63% (Calhoun Not including Battle Creek)
64th   rep. 50.51%   dem  49.49% (Jackson county not the city)
65th   rep. 51.38%   dem  48.62% (Jackson city and east Jackson co.)
67th   rep  45.20%    dem  54.80%  (Ingham county but Not lansing area)
75th   rep. 52.23%   dem  47.77% (Grand Rapids city part)
91st   rep  51.99%   dem  48.01% (Muskegon county not including the city)
97th   rep  51.66%    dem  48.34% (Bay, Arenac, Gladwin, Clare counties)
107th  rep  46.47%  dem  53.53%  (Emmett, Mackinac, Chippewa)


the 4 most marginal republican held seats (assuming there will be a dem swing)

64th   rep. 50.51%   dem  49.49% (Jackson county not the city)
65th   rep. 51.38%   dem  48.62% (Jackson city and east Jackson co.)
91st   rep  51.99%   dem  48.01% (Muskegon county not including the city)
97th   rep  51.66%    dem  48.34% (Bay, Arenac, Gladwin, Clare counties

[Republican Michigander]

19th  rep  53.13%   dem   46.87%  (Livonia in Wayne county)

The rep there ran slightly behind President Bush. Not sure why.

26th  rep  45.16%   dem   49.07% (Royal Oak in Oakland county)

Open seat in 04. Kerry won this district big.

30th   rep  53.85%   dem  46.15% (Sterling Heights in Macomb county)

Open seat in 04. About even with Bush. This is probably a strong GOP lean.

39th   rep  52.39%   dem  45.32% (Commerce/ West Bloomfield Oakland Co)

One to watch as W. Bloomfield is becoming a democrat stronghold. Commerce is a GOP stronghold but smaller.

51st   rep  54.55%   dem  45.45%  (South Genese county NOT Flint area)

Dave Robertson runs well here. This area slightly leans GOP.

55th   rep  49.68%   dem  50.32%  (the rest of Monroe county)

The Monroe part of this district leans GOP, but this also contains democrat stronghold Pittsfield Twp in Washtenaw County.

56th   rep  47.10%   dem  49.11%  (Eastern Monroe county)

Slightly democrat leaning, but Monroe County is overall moving to the right. Open seat in 06.

61st   rep  54.89%   dem  45.11% (Western Kalamazoo co. and Kalamazoo twp)

Jack Hoogendyk won here twice. Probably will be running again. Sleeper.

62nd  rep  53.37%   dem  46,63% (Calhoun Not including Battle Creek)

This seat leans slightly democrat. Mike Nofs won here twice and has one more term. It was held by a democrat beforehand.

64th   rep. 50.51%   dem  49.49% (Jackson county not the city)

Bush ran very well in Jackson and helped Leslie Mortimer beat a strong democrat here.

65th   rep. 51.38%   dem  48.62% (Jackson city and east Jackson co.)

Bush helped win this one as well for Rich Baxter over the mayor of Jackson.

67th   rep  45.20%    dem  54.80%  (Ingham county but Not lansing area)

This district went for Bush. Dianne Byrum is a popular democrat termed out. This should be ours in 06.

75th   rep. 52.23%   dem  47.77% (Grand Rapids city part)

This one is most likely to flip. John Kerry won this district with about 54%

91st   rep  51.99%   dem  48.01% (Muskegon county not including the city)

This district is always close. David Farhat has one more term.

97th   rep  51.66%    dem  48.34% (Bay, Arenac, Gladwin, Clare counties)

John Kerry won this district narrowly, but social conservatives won this for Tim Moore over the gay marriage issue.

107th  rep  46.47%  dem  53.53%  (Emmett, Mackinac, Chippewa)

This is a 57% Bush district. Walt North PO'ed the NRA with his dove hunting vote and lose because of this. This is a good chance for us.

[minionofmidas]

You have term limits for the House?

[Republican Michigander]

You have term limits for the House?

State House limits - 3 two year terms

State Senate, Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State - 2 four year terms.

I don't support term limits (creates lame ducks), but that's how it is.

[minionofmidas]

You have term limits for the House?

State House limits - 3 two year terms

State Senate, Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State - 2 four year terms.

I don't support term limits (creates lame ducks), but that's how it is.

That's quite short really (for the legislature). When were they introduced? How quickly till you can run again?

[Republican Michigander]

You have term limits for the House?

State House limits - 3 two year terms

State Senate, Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State - 2 four year terms.

I don't support term limits (creates lame ducks), but that's how it is.

That's quite short really (for the legislature). When were they introduced? How quickly till you can run again?

That's it. After the terms are up, they are up for good unless term limits are repealed.

I think it was either 1994 or 1996 when they were introduced through ballot initiative.

[Gabu]

What do the different shades in the images represent?

[Nym90]

Awesome maps!

I agree that the Dems have a good shot at taking the legislature. Much of it depends on whether Granholm wins, and if so, by how much. A strong Granholm win would help a lot.

[Republican Michigander]

Awesome maps!

I agree that the Dems have a good shot at taking the legislature. Much of it depends on whether Granholm wins, and if so, by how much. A strong Granholm win would help a lot.

I don't believe coattails will matter much here unless there's a rare 10%+ victory.

In 04, they went both ways where the anti-Bush vote flipped two seats in Washtenaw County and a pro-Bush vote in Jackson probably saved two seats for us.

Although even a strong Bush performance up North didn't matter there. Walt North got "upset"(NRA), and the Alpena seat stayed democrat. One thing I respect about the voters up North - VERY strong independent streak. 

[jerusalemcar5]

I believe the Democrats will make significant gains in the state and probably win at least one house.  Michigan has made many Democratic strides recently and upset with the flailing Michigan economy under the Rebuplican leadership.