Howie Hawkins vote share?
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Author Topic: Howie Hawkins vote share?  (Read 1766 times)
AGA
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« on: April 08, 2020, 02:55:17 PM »
What do you think it will be nationally, assuming he is the Green nominee? Will it be more than the Libertarian nominee? Is #DemExit a serious movement or overblown?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2020, 02:56:30 PM »
Who?
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Lord Halifax
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« Reply #2 on: April 08, 2020, 02:58:01 PM »


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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #3 on: April 08, 2020, 02:58:46 PM »
Probably 1-2%.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: April 08, 2020, 03:00:26 PM »
Less than Stein
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #5 on: April 08, 2020, 03:03:14 PM »
<1%
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6 on: April 08, 2020, 03:08:09 PM »

Yes, I got that part.  It's just that I've never heard of this person before.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #7 on: April 08, 2020, 03:08:51 PM »
Almost certainly less than 1%.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #8 on: April 08, 2020, 03:09:52 PM »
Certainly less than Jill Stein in 2016.

And not to be that Democrat, but does he have any history of, for example, having dinner with Mike Flynn and Vladimir Putin, that might give him a bit of surprising boost on the Facebooks from certain "well-wishers" and "concerned citizens," if you know what I'm sayin'?
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Lord Halifax
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« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2020, 03:11:15 PM »

Then google him. The "Who?" shtick is annoying.
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AltWorlder
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« Reply #10 on: April 08, 2020, 03:12:34 PM »
On one hand, Bernie hardliners are going to be particularly mad this year because it's his last presidential campaign and his loss is seen as a second backstab.

On the other, ballot access is going to be hit hard with the quarantine, Hawkins isn't as inspiring or well-known as Jill Stein, and most will just write-in Sanders anyway. Also there aren't that many Bernie hardliners.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #11 on: April 08, 2020, 03:20:26 PM »
0.3%
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: April 08, 2020, 03:27:37 PM »
He's an activist who was the Green nominee for governor of New York three times.
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20RP12
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« Reply #13 on: April 08, 2020, 03:28:09 PM »
1.5% max
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AltWorlder
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« Reply #14 on: April 08, 2020, 03:28:50 PM »

It's also incredibly unbecoming behavior for election hounds to engage in.
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redjohn
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« Reply #15 on: April 08, 2020, 03:29:47 PM »
0.9-1.1%
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #16 on: April 08, 2020, 03:46:13 PM »
Quote from: AGA on April 08, 2020, 03:27:37 PM
He's an activist who was the Green nominee for governor of New York three times.

Thank you.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #17 on: April 08, 2020, 03:58:28 PM »
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #18 on: April 08, 2020, 04:05:44 PM »
Probably less than Stein since Trump is an incumbent even though Howie's a much better candidate.
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #19 on: April 08, 2020, 04:06:21 PM »
So like the Jeb! map?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #20 on: April 08, 2020, 04:09:43 PM »
2-3%
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Orser67
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« Reply #21 on: April 08, 2020, 04:14:19 PM »
I'd guess about halfway between their worst recent performance (0.1%) and their best recent performance 2016 (1.1%), so 0.5%.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #22 on: April 08, 2020, 04:14:45 PM »
Jeb! plus states that'll be admitted later on, retroactively
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Esteemed Jimmy
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« Reply #23 on: April 08, 2020, 04:30:49 PM »
Around 0.75-1%
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The Mikado
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« Reply #24 on: April 08, 2020, 04:34:32 PM »
0.5%-0.75%. Maybe towards the higher end. A dropoff from Stein's 1.02% but in the same ballpark.

The Libertarians are going to fall off a cliff vs 2016, otoh.
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