Wisconsin Primary Results Thread

[Tender Branson]

118 precincts left - 114 of which are in Karofsky counties - with Karofsky leading by 9.0 points.

Dane (80-20) - 58
Sauk (62-38) - 45
Richland (56-44) - 9
Kenosha (58-42) - 2
Marinette (57-43) - 3
Langlade (61-39) - 1

Biden will win WI by 5 or more then against Trump.

[Bidenworth2020]

Looking at the Dane numbers for the primary, I honestly wouldn't be shocked if Bernie won it. He is narrowing Biden's margin considerably with every new update. At the very least, it will be within single digits.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

The Dem strength in  the Driftless area in SW WI is very good news for the GE. As SW WI goes, so goes NE IA.

[Adam Griffin]

118 precincts left - 114 of which are in Karofsky counties - with Karofsky leading by 9.0 points.

Dane (80-20) - 58
Sauk (62-38) - 45
Richland (56-44) - 9
Kenosha (58-42) - 2
Marinette (57-43) - 3
Langlade (61-39) - 1

I'm estimating the outstanding vote is 69.8% Democratic. Once all votes are counted, that'd give Karofsky 54.9% of the vote (a 9.8-point win).

76 precincts left - 72 of which are in Karofsky counties - with Karofsky leading by 9.8 points.

Dane (81-18) - 46
Sauk (59-41) - 21
Richland (57-43) - 3
Marinette (57-43) - 3
Kenosha (58-42) - 2
Langlade (61-39) - 1

I'm estimating the outstanding vote is 71.3% Democratic. Once all votes are counted, that'd give Karofsky 55.2% of the vote (a 10.4-point win).

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Can someone tell me why these State Court elections are done in April rather than November?

[Tender Branson]

Can someone tell me why these State Court elections are done in April rather than November?

Maybe because the judges term ends in the summer or something ...

[Adam Griffin]

Without Milwaukee and Dane:

Kelly        587194   51.35%
Karofsky  556294   48.65%

Not bad.

[Gass3268]

Can someone tell me why these State Court elections are done in April rather than November?

They are "non-partisan" and all nonpartisan elections (Judicial, County, Municipal and School Board) are done in the Spring.

[Epaminondas]

Without Milwaukee and Dane:

Kelly        587194   51.35%
Karofsky  556294   48.65%

Not bad.

Impressively close!
Obama would have won without Dane and Milwaukee in 2008, but has any Dem achieved that since?

[DINGO Joe]

Looking at the Dane numbers for the primary, I honestly wouldn't be shocked if Bernie won it. He is narrowing Biden's margin considerably with every new update. At the very least, it will be within single digits.

Not sure what you are seeing

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Without Milwaukee and Dane:

Kelly        587194   51.35%
Karofsky  556294   48.65%

Not bad.

[Holmes]

Without Milwaukee and Dane:

Kelly        587194   51.35%
Karofsky  556294   48.65%

Not bad.

Holy moly. Has this ever happened?

Most recently, Baldwin 2018, Dallet 2018, and Obama 2008 I’d say. Also all of Evers’ superintendent elections.

[Epaminondas]

Without Milwaukee and Dane:

Kelly        587194   51.35%
Karofsky  556294   48.65%

Not bad.

Holy moly. Has this ever happened?

Most recently this happened to Baldwin 2018, Dallet 2017, and Obama 2008 I’d say.

Sorry I misread the topline, thought Karofsky had won outside of D&M.

What I means was: Obama would have won without Dane and Milwaukee in 2008, has any Dem achieved that since?

[Tartarus Sauce]

Without Milwaukee and Dane:

Kelly        587194 51.35%
Karofsky  556294 48.65%

Not bad.

Holy moly. Has this ever happened?

Most recently this happened to Baldwin 2018, Dallet 2017, and Obama 2008 I’d say.

Sorry I misread the topline, thought Karofsky had won outside of D&M.

What I means was: Obama would have won without Dane and Milwaukee in 2008, has any Dem achieved that since?

Dallet might have, although I'm not sure how to go about checking that without going through a laborious process.

Baldwin lost the rest of non-MKE/Dane Wisconsin by 48.9-51.1 to Vukmir.

[Adam Griffin]

According to NYT, only 1 precinct outstanding (in Langlade; whatever):

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/RachelBitecofer/status/1249857416885342210

It reminds the 2012 US election in Wisconsin.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1249936564404269063

[wbrocks67]

Karofsky now up 10.6%, 55.3-44.7. Essentially getting the Dallet 2018 margin, which is incredibly shocking - but also very gratifying after Republicans tried to ratf**k this entire thing last week.

Also, shout out to Marquette. Their primary poll (62-34) was essentially *right* on the money (63-32).