Which Southern states could trend D in the next 10-20 years?
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  Which Southern states could trend D in the next 10-20 years?
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Poll
Question: All of these Southern states are currently safe R, but which ones are most likely to trend D in the next decade or two?
#1
Alabama
#2
Arkansas
#3
Kentucky
#4
Louisiana
#5
Mississippi
#6
Oklahoma
#7
South Carolina
#8
Tennessee
#9
West Virginia
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Author Topic: Which Southern states could trend D in the next 10-20 years?  (Read 3192 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #25 on: April 10, 2020, 08:01:03 PM »

MS will be competitive within 15 years because there's no way they're going to be able to keep their numbers with white voters %-wise as Boomers die off.

Read my post of SC, Dems are spending money in SC Senate as well as MT to get back the Senate. SC is trending Dem, Harrison is a staffer of Clyburn whom endorsed Biden🤩🤩🤩
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OneJ
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« Reply #26 on: April 10, 2020, 10:03:25 PM »

This board has a weird obsession with Mississippi flipping D. 

I voted South Carolina.  Demographically it is a lot more similar to states that have already moved towards Democrats in the South.  I wasn't all that surprised that the Charleston district flipped in 2018. 

Well, there's a good chance MS will become somewhat competitive based on current trends here that are unrelated to what most of the rest of the country is experiencing.

The thing about South Carolina is that the Black population there is declining which makes things a lot more uncertain and a fair number of people moving into the state are retirees.
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perpetual_cynic
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« Reply #27 on: April 10, 2020, 11:22:33 PM »

Tennessee has too much of a conservative Protestant bent, compared to other Southern states, meaning they have a high church of Christ vote, which will definitely not trend leftward like the Methodists in other Southern states.
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