Tipping point race in the House?
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  Tipping point race in the House?
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Author Topic: Tipping point race in the House?  (Read 368 times)
Orser67
Junior Chimp
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« on: April 03, 2020, 05:40:02 PM »

What do you think will be the tipping point race(s) in the House? I can explain what "tipping point" means if necessary, but here is a thread I started (from a while ago) about the tipping point race in the Senate that explains the concept.
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Libertas Vel Mors
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« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2020, 06:08:19 PM »

What do you think will be the tipping point race(s) in the House? I can explain what "tipping point" means if necessary, but here is a thread I started (from a while ago) about the tipping point race in the Senate that explains the concept.

IL-14 or NY-19. Both Likely D, but with stronger GOP bases.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2020, 09:08:16 PM »

CA-10
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Libertas Vel Mors
Haley/Ryan
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2020, 11:56:49 PM »


A Hispanic Clinton district in a House with majority Trump districts?
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2020, 11:59:30 PM »


It was literally 2018's tipping-point district.
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Libertas Vel Mors
Haley/Ryan
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« Reply #5 on: April 04, 2020, 02:47:14 AM »


It was literally 2018's tipping-point district.

And how does that mean it will be in 2020? Especially considering the massive Hispanic turnout changes between midterms and Presidentials, especially in the central valley
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #6 on: April 04, 2020, 03:02:20 AM »


It was literally 2018's tipping-point district.

And how does that mean it will be in 2020? Especially considering the massive Hispanic turnout changes between midterms and Presidentials, especially in the central valley

Because recent elections have had low-density-area districts (such as CA-10) controlling the balance of power in deciding the House. That bodes well for it being CA-10 or a similar district (e.g. NV-03).
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