2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Florida

[sting in the rafters]

Packed and cracked Miami-Dade like its the 80s

composite:14D/14R
potus 20: 13D/15R
att gen 18: 12D/16R
gov 18: 14D/14R
sen 18: 15D/13R
potus 16: 15D/13R
sen 16: 12D/16R
potus 12/16: 14D/14R

[sting in the rafters]

Just seeing this now, very interesting FL-28 appears as a pure tossup. Trends with Hispanics and the GOP's continued outreach in southern M-D may slowly cause it to trend R, though I would've thought Rs would've given it a smidgen of the snowbirds on the Gulf Coast side to put it out of reach except in a D-wave.

[sting in the rafters]

Just seeing this now, very interesting FL-26 is still a swing district. Trends with older whites will probably slowly but surely cause it to become more out of reach for Ds except in a wave, though I would've thought Rs would've given it a smidgen more of the snowbirds on the Gulf Coast side to shore it up.

Eh, I disagree with this unless you got a very broad definition of competitive. Most proposals got Trump 2020 winning it by 15% to 20%.

I do agree that its out of reach for Dems, especially as long as the powerful strong incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart remains.

Sorry for any confusion, I'm talking about the Keys district which Powell lost to Gimenez