Top 5 hardest governor races to call

[MissCatholic]

1. Iowa.

This is going to go right down to the wire. Pleased from a democrat prospective that chances of a bloody primary have decreased dramatically. Despite this its going to go right to wire. Grassley and Harkin have said that both tickets are highly competitive and wouldnt like to predict the outcome. Dems probably need to win this more than republicans after the 2004 result.

2. Alaska

This is going to be a silent war. Noobdy has any information on what Mirkowskis future is at the moment. If he runs then he has a good chance of being defeated. If not, the dems can still pickup the seat. Independents will play a key role. But nobody can say with any confidence who will be the governor of Alaska in 2007. Would be a great pickup for the dems. as red state dems are really beginning to show their citizens thats dems are more fiscally responsible than republicans.

3. California

It will be close.The dems will only have themselves to blame if the two unknown possible weak candidates cant end arnolds career. Its a deep blue state and the voters can be quite irrational. so expect anything.

4. Colorado

Its going to go to the wire. Dems are feeling confident. Republicans know that its a democrat moving state so the best way to stop it is to keep dems out as if they win this then they will feel that they can pickup the open seat in 2008 and possible win here nationally. Ritter can win as he isnt as liberal to scare the right wingers. will go to the end.

5. Illinois

Republicans are in chaos. They have no direction and are facing the same problems as the Michigan GOP. But they do have a real chance of picking the seat up they owned for 20+ years.

[Moooooo]

MD
MA
IA
PA
WI
CA

There are a slew that will be tough to call.  Its just too early to know for sure.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

MD
MA
IA
PA
WI
CA

There are a slew that will be tough to call.  Its just too early to know for sure.

CA is a Democratic pickup.

[Alcon]

Right now, the hardest to predict is Alaska.  It's the only race on the list where:

1.  We haven't seen polls that indicate how even theoretical races would go.
2.  We don't know who either party's candidate will be.
3.  Both parties seem to have a lack of strong candidates.

[Sam Spade]

Right now, the hardest to predict is Alaska.  It's the only race on the list where:

1.  We haven't seen polls that indicate how even theoretical races would go.
2.  We don't know who either party's candidate will be.
3.  Both parties seem to have a lack of strong candidates.

The real question is: 

Are the only polls we're going to be getting out of there partisan polls that lie to us by pretending to be non-partisan (thinking Murkowski v. Knowles 2004)?

That still pisses me off.