CA (PPP) - Biden +38
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Author Topic: CA (PPP) - Biden +38  (Read 2137 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« on: April 01, 2020, 01:49:25 PM »
Biden - 67
Trump - 29

Trump's approval is at 29%.

962 V, conducted 3/28-3/29

https://www.strother-nuckels.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/CaliforniaResults1.pdf
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2020, 01:51:03 PM »
Because if there is one thing we desperately needed, it was another California poll.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2 on: April 01, 2020, 01:52:29 PM »
Woah. It'll probably be closer than this, but I think Joe does better than Hillary.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #3 on: April 01, 2020, 01:54:20 PM »
This is the second CA poll in a row to show Trump under 30 in California (AtlasIntel showd him under 30 in early March). Last time he registered a number this low in the state before these was August of 2019.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2020, 01:56:57 PM »
aka "Why Biden winning the PV by 3 points likely won't be enough"
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: April 01, 2020, 01:57:52 PM »
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on April 01, 2020, 01:51:03 PM
Because if there is one thing we desperately needed, it was another California poll.

I agree with my bro from another mo from anne arundel co
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #6 on: April 01, 2020, 01:58:32 PM »
It's a shoo-in.
Smiley
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: April 01, 2020, 01:59:07 PM »
California gets it. There is a reason this is one of my favorite states.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #8 on: April 01, 2020, 02:00:12 PM »
I hope Biden wins by 50 and all remaining Republican holdouts flee the state.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #9 on: April 01, 2020, 02:00:21 PM »
Not good!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #10 on: April 01, 2020, 02:00:54 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on April 01, 2020, 01:59:07 PM
California gets it. There is a reason this is one of my favorite states.

You need to visit the Golden State one day.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #11 on: April 01, 2020, 02:02:34 PM »
Hillary only won this by 30, so this is in line with a 10-point national lead for Biden.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: April 01, 2020, 02:07:04 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on April 01, 2020, 01:59:07 PM
California gets it. There is a reason this is one of my favorite states.

Me too. They gave Bernie a beautiful victory!
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #13 on: April 01, 2020, 02:11:03 PM »
If I glossed over this correctly, that would be the most lopsided margin of victory for a candidate in the state since Harding won it in a landslide in 1920, and it would be the highest percent of the vote any candidate has ever gotten in California (though FDR got just under 67% in 1936).

Poor Tricky Dick and Ronnie Raygun, spinning in their graves. Sad
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #14 on: April 01, 2020, 02:36:46 PM »
Quote from: Biden/Abrams Voter on April 01, 2020, 01:56:57 PM
aka "Why Biden winning the PV by 3 points likely won't be enough"

If this is accurate, he may need to win it by 5. 

Note other recent CA polls showing closer results than 2016 as well though. 
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #15 on: April 01, 2020, 02:49:02 PM »
« Edited: April 01, 2020, 03:49:10 PM by Landslide Lyndon »
The margin will be important when it comes to house races. If Biden wins the state by this much then all Democratic incumbents (and the Katie Hill seat) are safe.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #16 on: April 01, 2020, 03:11:19 PM »
If Biden is winning Cali by 38 points, then he is probably winning the pop vote by 4-5% nationally, even if Trump wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin again
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Gracile
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« Reply #17 on: April 01, 2020, 03:21:18 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on April 01, 2020, 02:49:02 PM
The margin will be important when it comes to house races. If Biden wins the state by this much then all Democratic incumbents (and Katie Hill) are safe.

Yeah, if this is anywhere close to the final margin, then I have a hard time seeing Republicans picking up any House seats (despite people on both sides hyping up the possibility of this happening).
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #18 on: April 01, 2020, 03:46:32 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on April 01, 2020, 02:00:54 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on April 01, 2020, 01:59:07 PM
California gets it. There is a reason this is one of my favorite states.

You need to visit the Golden State one day.

If my aunt’s wife hadn’t died, I would be living there right now.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #19 on: April 01, 2020, 04:03:40 PM »
Quote from: #Bidemings2020 on April 01, 2020, 01:52:29 PM
Woah. It'll probably be closer than this, but I think Joe does better than Hillary.

Goodbye Devin Moscow Nunes.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #20 on: April 02, 2020, 11:22:57 AM »
Biden at 57-42 with whites. Damn. Imagine telling someone in 1988 the Democrat might get that number with CA whites and still lose the national election.
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Pollster
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« Reply #21 on: April 02, 2020, 12:36:49 PM »
This margin is probably just enough to take out Devin Nunes.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #22 on: April 02, 2020, 05:06:37 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on April 02, 2020, 12:36:49 PM
This margin is probably just enough to take out Devin Nunes.

You underestimate the stupidity of Fresnans.

Source: I’m related to several.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #23 on: April 03, 2020, 12:35:22 PM »
Biden winning CA by 38 points sounds nice, and is probably perfectly in line with the state of the race as it is right now. At the very least Rs should be locked out of gaining any seats they lost in 2018 if this is the margin.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #24 on: April 03, 2020, 12:37:32 PM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on April 02, 2020, 05:06:37 PM
Quote from: Pollster on April 02, 2020, 12:36:49 PM
This margin is probably just enough to take out Devin Nunes.

You underestimate the stupidity of Fresnans.

Source: I’m related to several.
If Nunes doesn't lose, how much will his margin be cut from 2018?
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