2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: South Carolina

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

https://twitter.com/AveryTheComrade/status/1471163528341975040

Unsure what's going on here, but there you have it

Was Mace not popular among her colleagues when she was a state rep?

Word is this map is designed to make SC-02 safer.

Makes sense. Mace is a bit of a perennial and not a lock step republican, she tried to primary Graham before. Wilson is a lot more connected (his son is the AG) and entrenched with his seat becoming less safe as the Richland parts grow bluer and bluer.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Do they want to get a white Democrat elected?

[Oryxslayer]

Do they want to get a white Democrat elected?

Yeah if they really wish to concede a seat they could have made it like 40% AA. Maybe one of the other reasons is to pull Cunningham out of the Gov race.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Do they want to get a white Democrat elected?

Yeah if they really wish to concede a seat they could have made it like 40% AA. Maybe one of the other reasons is to pull Cunningham out of the Gov race.

Yeah, if this map passes we look set for a Cunningham vs Mace GE most likely.
Then again Mace could get entrenched, carving out a brand for herself as a maverick-y congresswoman not afraid to buck the party line.
She's still in a Trump district after all.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I really doubt this map passes, but in either map, it's obvious GOP isn't interested in making SC-01 titanium R(which would have required them to make it very ugly)

[Devils30]

If SC-1 is really only Trump +1 it makes sense for Cunningham to abandon the Gov race and run for the House again.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

The winners and losers of SC's newly drawn Statehouse seats, in the House and Senate

https://www.postandcourier.com/columbia/the-winners-and-losers-of-scs-newly-drawn-statehouse-seats-in-the-house-and-senate/article_ca8423e4-583f-11ec-9001-ff703ef9abd2.html

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

The winners and losers of SC's newly drawn Statehouse seats, in the House and Senate

https://www.postandcourier.com/columbia/the-winners-and-losers-of-scs-newly-drawn-statehouse-seats-in-the-house-and-senate/article_ca8423e4-583f-11ec-9001-ff703ef9abd2.html

After reading through the article and looking at the maps in depth the most interesting points are that York and Horry pick up a house seat. The later is particularly interesting as it takes Gilda Cobb-Hunters seat and renumbers it to Jerry Govan’s seat. Govan’s seat is now mostly in Bamberg’s district. Bamberg and Cobb-Hunter are some of the leftist members of the house, with Govan and Cobb-Hunter (both democrats) having public spats.

In the senate Dick Harpootlian’s seat that he flipped in a special election is chopped up and moved to West Ashley. Still a safe democratic seat, but seems like an interesting retribution against him, a high ranking democrat close to Clyburn and Biden (his wife recently was appointed ambassador to Slovenia)

[BoiseBoy]

Another SC proposal:

https://twitter.com/ZakKoeske/status/1473714041172512775?s=20

[Tekken_Guy]

Another SC proposal:

https://twitter.com/ZakKoeske/status/1473714041172512775?s=20

How is this a Trump+14 district if the Senate one was Trump+9? They’re virtually identical.

[lfromnj]

Another SC proposal:

https://twitter.com/ZakKoeske/status/1473714041172512775?s=20

How is this a Trump+14 district if the Senate one was Trump+9? They’re virtually identical.

Composite score.

Anyway the bigger worry would be sc02. Also not sure why they don't Jasper county with the 1st

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Another SC proposal:

https://twitter.com/ZakKoeske/status/1473714041172512775?s=20

How is this a Trump+14 district if the Senate one was Trump+9? They’re virtually identical.

Composite score.

Anyway the bigger worry would be sc02. Also not sure why they don't Jasper county with the 1st

Large minority population

[Torie]

Lacking the SC map in the DRA, I just did a least change one for myself more or less, that gets the job done for the Pubs. I don't know what the fuss is.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Lacking the SC map in the DRA, I just did a least change one for myself more or less, that gets the job done for the Pubs. I don't know what the fuss is.

South Carolina’s republicans are a self combative bunch. It took them three attempts over three legislative secessions to just barely squeak out a heartbeat bill this last time. Lot of big egos that need stroking

[lfromnj]

Lacking the SC map in the DRA, I just did a least change one for myself more or less, that gets the job done for the Pubs. I don't know what the fuss is.

Look at your SC02 numbers

[Torie]

Lacking the SC map in the DRA, I just did a least change one for myself more or less, that gets the job done for the Pubs. I don't know what the fuss is.

Look at your SC02 numbers

https://davesredistricting.org/join/0e83f81c-4611-458f-9877-e66832fd607b

[BoiseBoy]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

[Tekken_Guy]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

Will SC-01 hold for the whole decade with that map? What about SC-02?

[ProgressiveModerate]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

Will SC-01 hold for the whole decade with that map? What about SC-02?

They both should barring a D wave or a GOP collapse nationally

[Tekken_Guy]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

Will SC-01 hold for the whole decade with that map? What about SC-02?

They both should barring a D wave or a GOP collapse nationally

What about trends?

[ProgressiveModerate]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

Will SC-01 hold for the whole decade with that map? What about SC-02?

They both should barring a D wave or a GOP collapse nationally

What about trends?

Still both should generally hold, SC-01 especially with Mace.

[Tekken_Guy]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

Will SC-01 hold for the whole decade with that map? What about SC-02?

They both should barring a D wave or a GOP collapse nationally

What about trends?

Still both should generally hold, SC-01 especially with Mace.

Mace could very well be going statewide this decade and the seat might open up. And Joe Cunningham was a strong incumbent who outperformed Biden and Harrison in his seat and could win it back at some point.

And Joe Wilson is old and could very possibly retire soon.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

Will SC-01 hold for the whole decade with that map? What about SC-02?

They both should barring a D wave or a GOP collapse nationally

What about trends?

Still both should generally hold, SC-01 especially with Mace.

Mace could very well be going statewide this decade and the seat might open up. And Joe Cunningham was a strong incumbent who outperformed Biden and Harrison in his seat and could win it back at some point.

And Joe Wilson is old and could very possibly retire soon.

I have a feeling Wilson is gonna die in that seat with his son Alan winning the special election to replace him

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

From what I'm hearing, the House alternative plan is the favorite right now. Redistricting committee voted to adopt it on party lines.

The senate redistricting bill has been amended to match the House plan.

Will SC-01 hold for the whole decade with that map? What about SC-02?

They both should barring a D wave or a GOP collapse nationally

What about trends?

Still both should generally hold, SC-01 especially with Mace.

Mace could very well be going statewide this decade and the seat might open up. And Joe Cunningham was a strong incumbent who outperformed Biden and Harrison in his seat and could win it back at some point.

And Joe Wilson is old and could very possibly retire soon.

I have a feeling Wilson is gonna die in that seat with his son Alan winning the special election to replace him

Joe Wilson's just 74. Does he have any health problems of note?

[BoiseBoy]

Another proposal has been posted on the Senate's website.

It's largely similar to the alternative House proposal, but with some edits, noticeably around districts 1, 2, and 6.