Not saying it'd work, but why don't Dems argue for the creation of another outright majority Hispanic majority district in DFW? It can be done relatively compactly as shown above, without making TX-30 at risk of failing as a black plurality seat. Something like this would make it difficult for the GOP to crack that much of Northern Dallas County, and as a side benefit actually unpacks TX-30 and TX-33 from a partisan standpoint.
25th = 45% Hispanic, 27% white, 23% black (plurality Hispanic)
30th = 46% black, 30% Hispanic, 18% white (plurality black)
32nd = 50% Hispanic, 28% white, 18% black (majority Hispanic)
33rd = 54% Hispanic, 26% white, 14% black (majority Hispanic)
3rd = 42% white, 32% Asian, 13% Hispanic, 12% black (could become Asian-plurality soon)
5th = 51% white, 20% Hispanic, 16% black, 12% Asian (the only white-majority blue district)
Partisan data is 2020 presidential
I think this map would be good enough to get past an R controlled court on the off chance they ruled in favor of Dems.
https://davesredistricting.org/join/d7120d10-eadc-41b8-a28d-f21e9d96146bIt takes TX-32, Allred's plurality white Dem district, and reconfigures it to make it majority hispanic.
TX 30 becomes even stronger plurality black, and TX-33 shifts to cover more Democratic turf in Tarrant County and is plurality Hispanic.
TX-24 is still largely centered on conservative northeast Tarrant County but it gives up some of north-central Tarrant in exchange for even more Republican parts of Denton County to counter areas around Carrollton Van Duyne takes in.
TX-04 will now get the park cities in Dallas, with an arm coming from Rockwall through Richardson.
TX-05 will take in Mesquite and have some leftover area in northeastern Dallas.
Some other seats are shifted around and TX-13 comes further into Denton and into the fringes of Collin while TX-01 comes in for reinforcements and carves out McKinney from the rest of Collin to shore up TX-03 margins.
TX-25 takes more former TX-13 areas out west to compensate for the Tarrant County areas lost to TX-33 and TX-06.
TX-06 still has a big chunk of south-central Tarrant County and moves down through Ellis County and eastward.
I also reconfigured Houston a bit, but the number of D and R districts doesn't change.
Every other change was meant to be as minimal as possible without precinct splits (given the other significant changes on the map).
This map nets an extra plurality Hispanic district over the current one while reinforcing plurality black districts. An additional safe Republican district (TX-36) is just barely plurality white. It may be possible to shift some precincts here or there to put Hispanics into the plurality. Rs don't have to give up a district and Trump won every R seat outside of south Texas with at least 56% of the vote.
Given we're likely to see at least some amount of non-Trump reversion (down-ballot Rs have consistently outrun him in TX), a lot of these might end up 60-39R. They may get pretty close by the end of the decade if there's a Republican president, particularly a very unpopular one like Trump. As long as there's a Democratic president or a Republican who is reasonably popular in TX, these should stay in R hands.
I'm sure someone with more time on their hands and a bit of willingness to split a precinct here or there could fine-tune this, but it's a rough estimate of what Rs may try to do in the event of a Dem favorable ruling.
