2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Mississippi

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I can't imagine the black population has dropped enough to not warrant the Section 2 district though.

The Black population in MS has been growing slowly over the course of this decade.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Good map honestly. Nothing worth criticizing. Of course the GOP's hands are tied by the VRA here.

I think this map is bad based on COI, but is a wash politically. If I were drawing the map based on COI without consideration to partisanship, there would be 2 Safe R seats, and 2 Swing seats, the swing seats being around Biden + 2.2 and Biden + 2.5. It would have the potential to either double or nothing Black Representation in the state, depending on how strong their turnout was in any given year.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Good map honestly. Nothing worth criticizing. Of course the GOP's hands are tied by the VRA here.

I think this map is bad based on COI, but is a wash politically. If I were drawing the map based on COI without consideration to partisanship, there would be 2 Safe R seats, and 2 Swing seats, the swing seats being around Biden + 2.2 and Biden + 2.5. It would have the potential to either double or nothing Black Representation in the state, depending on how strong their turnout was in any given year.

I feel like the Black population along the Mississippi is a COI in its own right, and diluting it by splitting into two districts doesn't feel right to me.

I would not split the Black population along the Mississippi. The problem is that in order to draw a Safe D seat, you either have to split that or split the Jackson Metro, neither of which would be ideal from COI. The Biden + 2.2 seat I described would be a Majority non-Hispanic Black VAP seat along the Delta, and the Biden + 2.5 seat I described would be a seat with no majority racial group with the Jackson Metro.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

This is the map I am talking about ftr:



Neither of Delta area nor the Jackson Metro are split.