2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Oklahoma (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Oklahoma (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Oklahoma  (Read 4229 times)
Alcibiades
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« on: April 22, 2021, 06:02:09 AM »

Non-congressional news, but we have the state Senate and state House proposals from the OKGOP:
Given hefty GOP majorities in both houses and control of the governorship, these should be pretty close to the final maps.


Would these maps draw more Dems out of power, or are they so bottomed out it doesn’t matter?

Just eyeballing it in comparison to the precinct map of the most recent presidential election and the current state legislative map:

State House:
OKC: No change, although Districts 83 and 95, which the Dems held before 2020, have been made more Republican.
Tulsa: No change
Norman: Hard to tell, but District 45, which the Dems hold, may have been made more Republican.
Stillwater: No change
Rest of the state: Democrats no longer hold any seats outside of these four cities, but of the four which they did prior to 2020 (i.e. which they last won in 2018): Districts 1, 4 and 7 are Yellow Dog rural Eastern Oklahoma districts which are gone anyway (although the latter two have still been made slightly more Republican), while District 56 has been completely eliminated in its current form. I think the Republicans have somewhat shored up a seat in Lawton, which, while Republican held, was won by Trump by less than one point.

State Senate:
OKC: One or two of the current 5 Dem districts may have been made more Republican? It’s hard to tell.
Tulsa: District 34 was won easily by Trump, but Dems held it unopposed in 2020. It’s become slightly less Republican as it’s shrunk due to population growth. Districts 35 and 39 are a pair both narrowly won by Biden, although the latter is held by a Republican. They have been rejigged, but I can’t tell if there’s been much partisan change.
Norman: The Dem seat is actually shored up due to shrinking due to population growth.

TL;DR: The Dems are basically bottomed out, so the Republicans have not been able to get rid of any of the seats they currently hold, but a few swing districts have been made more Republican.

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