How likely is it they crack Tulsa? Downtown is very easy to remove from the metro.
Meh a tulsa seat is Trump +30 with the extra counties
Here is a likely map, each incumbent (except maybe Horn) stays in their district and each district is majority within the current districts. OK-5 is still majority Oklahoma County.
1. blue Trump+29, Stitt+9
2. green Trump+50, Stitt+23
3. purple Trump+34, Stitt+12
4. red Trump+40, Stitt+13
5. yellow Trump+30, Stitt+5
OK-5 as it is now voted Trump by 13 and Edmondson by 9. So the new OK-5 moves 17 points right for president and 14 points right in the gov race. Horn likely wouldn't have come within single digits of winning in this configuration.