2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Oklahoma

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Oklahoma is a state that might see the GOP see a certain gain in 2022. Kendra Horn, if she doesn't lose in 2020, might face a heavily redrawn map that cracks OKC up in multiple bits.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If Horn is still around, the seat is definitely getting cracked. The slightly more interesting question is what happens if she loses in 2020 - do they keep it mostly intact to preserve a district for Oklahoma County Republicans, or do they leave just enough to keep the new representative safe from a primary and crack the rest?

If Horn loses in 2020 I think they spin off the most firmly minority areas off into the Panhandle district while keeping the rest of OKC in one district.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If Horn is still around, the seat is definitely getting cracked. The slightly more interesting question is what happens if she loses in 2020 - do they keep it mostly intact to preserve a district for Oklahoma County Republicans, or do they leave just enough to keep the new representative safe from a primary and crack the rest?

If Horn loses in 2020 I think they spin off the most firmly minority areas off into the Panhandle district while keeping the rest of OKC in one district.

That’s what Dems used to do to try and keep their hold on the Panhandle district.

Quite ironic how the GOP might copy the same playbook today, in pursuit of a different goals.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/f5c9d084-7e4f-4e45-9731-76f19728fe71
thoughts on this Clinton+3 OK-05?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

*Snip*

I think splitting it two ways will be sufficient: https://davesredistricting.org/join/3a63b727-bc82-4ddc-ae4b-8d5cf010fac6

OK-04 picks up some heavily blue areas in OKC, but it still went to Trump by 23. To compensate, OK-05 gets Lincoln County and now went to Trump by 15. That should be enough.

Interestingly, three of the five districts voted to the left of the state.

Well done.
I suspect that at the end of the day GOPers would vote for this map over a three-way crack.