So we can definitely kiss AZ-01 and AZ-02 goodbye with the inevitable Republican gerrymander. Dems will be confined to 2 seats in Phoenix and 1 in Tucson
Madigan is going to have his work cut out for him in making up for the states where Dems will be gerrymandered to oblivion, that's for sure
Yup. Democrats stupidly ceded their map-drawing ability in Virginia back to Republicans, turned their biggest states into commissions, and Republicans are going to nuke Florida, Texas, and Georgia into oblivion. Democrats are losing the House in 2022 for sure, it’s just a question of how bad will it be.
Eh, I'm not sure I'd go THAT far. The Democrats self-righteous idiocy is going to make it much harder than it should be, but by default the maps will be better than they were in the 2010s. There won't be any PA or MI gerrymanders, NC will automatically be better and WI will probably be a fair map... probably anyway. Point is, if Biden stays popular I don't think a hold is totally impossible and if he becomes unpopular it was going to be lost regardless of redistricting.
