Order the swing states in 2020 from most Trump to most Biden

[Joe Boden]

you pick what you consider swing states

[Roll Roons]

1. Ohio
2. Iowa
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. North Carolina
6. Florida
7. Wisconsin
8. Arizona
9. New Hampshire
10. Michigan
11. Pennsylvania
12. Maine
13. Minnesota
14. Nevada
15. Colorado

Wisconsin and Arizona are very close and could be interchangeable, and New Hampshire is a wild card. I think Pennsylvania votes to the left of Michigan because of Biden's roots there, but again, it's close. Minnesota could vote to the left of Nevada if Klobuchar is the VP nominee.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

1. Ohio
2. Iowa
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. North Carolina
6. Florida
7. Wisconsin
8. Arizona
9. New Hampshire
10. Michigan
11. Pennsylvania
12. Maine
13. Minnesota
14. Nevada
15. Colorado

Wisconsin and Arizona are very close and could be interchangeable, and New Hampshire is a wild card. I think Pennsylvania votes to the left of Michigan because of Biden's roots there, but again, it's close. Minnesota could vote to the left of Nevada if Klobuchar is the VP nominee.

No Virginia?

[SevenEleven]

1. Ohio
2. Iowa
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. North Carolina
6. Florida
7. Wisconsin
8. Arizona
9. New Hampshire
10. Michigan
11. Pennsylvania
12. Maine
13. Minnesota
14. Nevada
15. Colorado

Wisconsin and Arizona are very close and could be interchangeable, and New Hampshire is a wild card. I think Pennsylvania votes to the left of Michigan because of Biden's roots there, but again, it's close. Minnesota could vote to the left of Nevada if Klobuchar is the VP nominee.

No Virginia?

Virginia is a safe D as it gets.

[SevenEleven]

1. Ohio
2. Iowa
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. North Carolina
6. Florida
7. Wisconsin
8. Arizona
9. New Hampshire
10. Michigan
11. Pennsylvania
12. Maine
13. Minnesota
14. Nevada
15. Colorado

Wisconsin and Arizona are very close and could be interchangeable, and New Hampshire is a wild card. I think Pennsylvania votes to the left of Michigan because of Biden's roots there, but again, it's close. Minnesota could vote to the left of Nevada if Klobuchar is the VP nominee.

Switch New Hampshire and Arizona and this is spot on.

[Roll Roons]

1. Ohio
2. Iowa
3. Texas
4. Georgia
5. North Carolina
6. Florida
7. Wisconsin
8. Arizona
9. New Hampshire
10. Michigan
11. Pennsylvania
12. Maine
13. Minnesota
14. Nevada
15. Colorado

Wisconsin and Arizona are very close and could be interchangeable, and New Hampshire is a wild card. I think Pennsylvania votes to the left of Michigan because of Biden's roots there, but again, it's close. Minnesota could vote to the left of Nevada if Klobuchar is the VP nominee.

No Virginia?

I don't consider Virginia a swing state anymore. Even Colorado barely is at this point.

[Rookie Yinzer]

1. Iowa
2. Texas
3. Georgia
4. Florida
5. North Carolina
6. Wisconsin
7. Arizona
8. New Hampshire
9. Pennsylvania
11. Michigan

[Libertas Vel Mors]

1. Ohio

2. Iowa

3. Texas

4. Georgia

5. North Carolina

6. Florida
 
7. Wisconsin

8. Arizona

9. Pennsylvania

10. Michigan

11. Minnesota

12. New Hampshire

13. Maine

14. Nevada

[brucejoel99]

ME-02
Arizona
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
NE-02
Wisconsin
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan

[Libertas Vel Mors]

ME-02
Arizona
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
NE-02
Wisconsin
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan

Arizona is more likely to go red than Iowa? NE-02 is better for the Dems than Wisconsin? Florida? What's up with this list?

[😥]

Rating on the probability that a certain state will vote for a certain candidate, not on margin:

1. Iowa
2. Georgia
3. Ohio
4. Texas
5. Florida
6. North Carolina
7. Wisconsin
8. Arizona
9. Michigan
10. New Hampshire
11. Pennsylvania
12. Minnesota
13. Nevada
14. Maine

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

TRUMP
Ohio
ME-02
Iowa
Texas
Georgia
North Carolina
Florida
NE-02
Arizona
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Michigan
New Hampshire
Minnesota
Nevada
BIDEN

AZ and WI interchangeable.

[brucejoel99]

ME-02
Arizona
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
NE-02
Wisconsin
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan

Arizona is more likely to go red than Iowa? NE-02 is better for the Dems than Wisconsin? Florida? What's up with this list?

Bitecofer.

[TDAS04]

Ohio
Iowa
ME-2
Texas
North Carolina
Georgia
Florida
Wisconsin
Michigan
Arizona
NE-2
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire
Maine
Minnesota
Nevada
Colorado
Virginia
New Mexico

I don’t really consider the last three swing states, I just felt like including all that were within single digits.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

ME-02
Arizona
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
NE-02
Wisconsin
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan

Arizona is more likely to go red than Iowa? NE-02 is better for the Dems than Wisconsin? Florida? What's up with this list?

Bitecofer.

What?

[brucejoel99]

ME-02
Arizona
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
NE-02
Wisconsin
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan

Arizona is more likely to go red than Iowa? NE-02 is better for the Dems than Wisconsin? Florida? What's up with this list?

Bitecofer.

What?

You are simply not worthy of undertaking political and/or electoral speculation in the Year of our Lord Two-Thousand and Twenty if you are not aware of who Rachel Bitecofer is.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Ohio
Iowa
Texas
Georgia
Florida
North Carolina
New Hampshire
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Arizona
Michigan
Maine
Minnesota
Nevada

GA/FL/NC & IA/TX are interchangeable. I don't consider Virginia or Colorado swing states, but I guess they'd be below Nevada on this list

[Progressive Pessimist]

1. Ohio.
2. Iowa.
3. ME-2.
4. Texas.
5. Georgia.
6. North Carolina.
7. Florida.
8. NE-1.
9. Arizona.
10. Wisconsin.
11. Pennsylvania.
12. Michigan.
13. New hampshire.
14. Minnesota.
15. ME-AL
16. Nevada.
17. Colorado.
18. Virginia.

[Gracile]

ME-02
Iowa
Ohio
Texas
North Carolina
Georgia
Florida
Wisconsin
NE-02
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Maine
New Hampshire
Minnesota
Nevada
Colorado

[Xing]

ME-02
Iowa
Ohio (these three aren’t really competitive)
Texas
North Carolina
Georgia
Florida
NE-02
Arizona
Wisconsin
Michigan
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire
Maine
Minnesota
Nevada
Colorado (these last two also aren’t really competitive)

[Tekken_Guy]

ME-02
Iowa
Ohio
Texas
Georgia
Florida
North Carolina
NE-02
Arizona
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Michigan
New Hampshire
Maine
Minnesota
Nevada

[krb08]

1. ME-02
2. Iowa
3. Ohio
4. Texas
5. Georgia
6. North Carolina
7. Florida
8. NE-02
9. Wisconsin (TIPPING POINT)
10. Arizona
11. Pennsylvania
12. Michigan
13. New Hampshire
14. Minnesota
15. Nevada
16. Maine
17. Colorado

Colorado is barely a swing state at this point, at to an extent ME-02 as well (for POTUS). Virginia and New Mexico are not swing states whatsoever.

[Senator Spark]

TRUMP
1. Iowa +10
2. Ohio R +6
3. Texas R +5
4. Georgia R +4
5. ME-02 +3.5
6. North Carolina R +2.5
7. NE-02 R +2
8. Arizona R +1.5
9. Florida R +1.2
10. Wisconsin R +0.8
11. Pennsylvania D +1
12. Michigan D +1.5
13. New Hampshire D +2.5
14. Minnesota D +4
15. Nevada D +5
16. Maine D +6
17. Virginia D +7
18. Colorado D +9
BIDEN

[Libertas Vel Mors]

ME-02
Arizona
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
NE-02
Wisconsin
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan

Arizona is more likely to go red than Iowa? NE-02 is better for the Dems than Wisconsin? Florida? What's up with this list?

Bitecofer.

What?

You are simply not worthy of undertaking political and/or electoral speculation in the Year of our Lord Two-Thousand and Twenty if you are not aware of who Rachel Bitecofer is.

Who?

[brucejoel99]

ME-02
Arizona
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
NE-02
Wisconsin
Florida
Pennsylvania
Michigan

Arizona is more likely to go red than Iowa? NE-02 is better for the Dems than Wisconsin? Florida? What's up with this list?

Bitecofer.

What?

You are simply not worthy of undertaking political and/or electoral speculation in the Year of our Lord Two-Thousand and Twenty if you are not aware of who Rachel Bitecofer is.

Who?

Please stop.