What is more likely to happen?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 11:50:12 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  What is more likely to happen?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which Senate seat result is more likely to happen?
#1
Alabama stays D
 
#2
Colorado stays R
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 39

Author Topic: What is more likely to happen?  (Read 984 times)
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,782


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 23, 2020, 04:04:32 PM »

I think it would be CO staying R, because Trump won Alabama by over 20 points, while Clinton was fairly close in Colorado compared to that. I think they are both very likely seats to flip in 2020 though.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,588
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2020, 05:58:21 PM »

Colorado, although that's not saying much. It depends on how low turnout is due to COVID-19.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,775
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2020, 08:45:57 PM »

Option 2 but only in a Solid Nut map would Jones win, which has a -100 % chance
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,739
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2020, 09:54:59 PM »

Colorado staying R, though either is obviously still very unlikely.
Logged
538Electoral
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,691


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 24, 2020, 04:05:34 AM »

Both will probably flip but AL is the more likely to flip I feel.

Gardner: 30% chance of holding on.
Jones: 5% chance of holding on.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.031 seconds with 13 queries.