How many Democratic Representatives will be left from Iowa after 2020?
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  How many Democratic Representatives will be left from Iowa after 2020?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: How many Democratic Representatives will be left from Iowa after 2020?  (Read 3984 times)
TDAS04
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« on: March 19, 2020, 07:26:11 AM »
Vote.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2020, 07:34:23 AM »
Depending on how bad things get and on Steve King’s primary, realistically anywhere from 0 to 4. I went with 2 to split the difference.
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andjey
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« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2020, 08:19:38 AM »
Probably 3
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2020, 09:12:06 AM »
If I've said it once, I've said it a hundred times. Zero. Trump's going to win Iowa by at least 10 points, and this will wipe out Finkenauer, Hart, and Axne.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2020, 09:44:30 AM »
1 or 2, Trump is secure in OH, TX and IA
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Libertas Vel Mors
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2020, 12:29:29 PM »
2, IA-1 has a good chance of flipping as an open seat
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OBD
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« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2020, 01:02:19 PM »
2. I'd say Axne survives, but one of IA-01 or IA-02 falls on Trump's coattails.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2020, 05:09:40 PM »
One. Probably in the 2nd district.
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Boomerberg2020
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2020, 11:20:01 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on March 19, 2020, 09:12:06 AM
If I've said it once, I've said it a hundred times. Zero. Trump's going to win Iowa by at least 10 points, and this will wipe out Finkenauer, Hart, and Axne.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2020, 11:52:54 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on March 19, 2020, 09:12:06 AM
If I've said it once, I've said it a hundred times. Zero. Trump's going to win Iowa by at least 10 points, and this will wipe out Finkenauer, Hart, and Axne.

You also believe that Republicans will win all things ever and that the sky is falling.
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PAK Man
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« Reply #10 on: March 22, 2020, 12:51:03 AM »
3. I think Finkenauer and Axne will be fine and Hart should win without a problem. King/whoever the Republican nominee in IA-04 is will win.
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Meatball Ron
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« Reply #11 on: March 23, 2020, 10:55:11 AM »
Quote from: PAK Man on March 22, 2020, 12:51:03 AM
3. I think Finkenauer and Axne will be fine and Hart should win without a problem. King/whoever the Republican nominee in IA-04 is will win.
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Meatball Ron
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« Reply #12 on: March 23, 2020, 11:00:42 AM »
Anyone know why the GOP field is so weak in IA-02? Hart's likely opponent (endorsed by Branstad and Reynolds) is a borderline perennial candidate, having lost to Loebsack 3 times already. It's either her, a one-term former Congressman from *another state*, or two total unknowns.

At least the GOP has a very strong challenger to Finkenauer in IA-01, and while I don't know much about two-term former Congressman David Young, it's promising that he's seeking his old seat in IA-03.
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clever but short
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« Reply #13 on: March 23, 2020, 12:52:02 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on March 19, 2020, 07:34:23 AM
Depending on how bad things get and on Steve King’s primary, realistically anywhere from 0 to 4. I went with 2 to split the difference.

This
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #14 on: March 24, 2020, 11:23:04 PM »
It’s just too early to tell because of the ongoing crisis.


My prediction is the following: If Trump wins re-election, the 1st, 2nd, and 4th will go red. The 3rd also could but might stay blue. If Trump loses the state of Iowa, King is in trouble.
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Frodo
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« Reply #15 on: March 24, 2020, 11:24:34 PM »
Quote from: whitesox130 on March 24, 2020, 11:23:04 PM
It’s just too early to tell because of the ongoing crisis.


My prediction is the following: If Trump wins re-election, the 1st, 2nd, and 4th will go red. The 3rd also could but might stay blue. If Trump loses the state of Iowa, King is in trouble.

Are you using Atlas-colors? 
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Meatball Ron
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« Reply #16 on: March 25, 2020, 09:24:32 AM »
Quote from: Grand Mufti of Northern Virginia on March 24, 2020, 11:24:34 PM
Quote from: whitesox130 on March 24, 2020, 11:23:04 PM
It’s just too early to tell because of the ongoing crisis.


My prediction is the following: If Trump wins re-election, the 1st, 2nd, and 4th will go red. The 3rd also could but might stay blue. If Trump loses the state of Iowa, King is in trouble.

Are you using Atlas-colors? 


Clearly not. He's saying "red" is a more likely outcome if Trump wins reelection. And "stay blue" implies 3rd district remains what it is now (Democratic). Context, my guy.
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