TX-SEN: I made a Democratic primary map
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Author Topic: TX-SEN: I made a Democratic primary map  (Read 1348 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: March 17, 2020, 02:15:16 PM »
« edited: March 23, 2020, 06:23:13 PM by ERM64man »
MJ Hegar, tie, Royce West, Cristina Ramirez, Annie Garcia, Amanda Edwards, Chris Bell, Sema Hernandez, Michael Cooper
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Meatball Ron
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« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2020, 03:17:51 PM »
Crazy...thanks for making, very interesting. We need ranked choice voting.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2020, 03:50:25 PM »
Why did Hegar and Bell have a strong performance in rural counties?
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2020, 04:43:57 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 03:50:25 PM
Why did Hegar and Bell have a strong performance in rural counties?
Bell likely won a lot of those areas due to name rec alone.... he was on the ballot 12 years ago, so a lot of older democrats likely remember him.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2020, 05:52:24 PM »
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on March 17, 2020, 04:43:57 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 03:50:25 PM
Why did Hegar and Bell have a strong performance in rural counties?
Bell likely won a lot of those areas due to name rec alone.... he was on the ballot 12 years ago, so a lot of older democrats likely remember him.
Why did Hegar do well in many rural counties in the middle of the state?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2020, 06:16:21 PM »
Quote from: Young Texan on March 17, 2020, 06:10:50 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 05:52:24 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on March 17, 2020, 04:43:57 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 03:50:25 PM
Why did Hegar and Bell have a strong performance in rural counties?
Bell likely won a lot of those areas due to name rec alone.... he was on the ballot 12 years ago, so a lot of older democrats likely remember him.
Why did Hegar do well in many rural counties in the middle of the state?

Possibly because she contested a seat in that area and her ID just expanded, she is a very formidable candidate.
Right, TX-31. West did well in DFW because he’s from that area. Why did he also win a few rural counties in the eastern part of the state?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2020, 06:29:11 PM »
« Edited: March 17, 2020, 06:32:50 PM by ERM64man »
Quote from: Young Texan on March 17, 2020, 06:19:41 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 06:16:21 PM
Quote from: Young Texan on March 17, 2020, 06:10:50 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 05:52:24 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on March 17, 2020, 04:43:57 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 03:50:25 PM
Why did Hegar and Bell have a strong performance in rural counties?
Bell likely won a lot of those areas due to name rec alone.... he was on the ballot 12 years ago, so a lot of older democrats likely remember him.
Why did Hegar do well in many rural counties in the middle of the state?

Possibly because she contested a seat in that area and her ID just expanded, she is a very formidable candidate.
Right, TX-31. West did well in DFW because he’s from that area. Why did he also win a few rural counties in the eastern part of the state?

Potentially the African-American population that is in east texas, as there is a large percentage in that region. That seems to easy to use but I think it is valid enough.
That sounds right. And why did John Cornyn lose San Saba County to Dwayne Stovall in the GOP primary?

John Cornyn, Dwayne Stovall
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: March 18, 2020, 05:32:12 AM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 06:29:11 PM
Quote from: Young Texan on March 17, 2020, 06:19:41 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 06:16:21 PM
Quote from: Young Texan on March 17, 2020, 06:10:50 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 05:52:24 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on March 17, 2020, 04:43:57 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 17, 2020, 03:50:25 PM
Why did Hegar and Bell have a strong performance in rural counties?
Bell likely won a lot of those areas due to name rec alone.... he was on the ballot 12 years ago, so a lot of older democrats likely remember him.
Why did Hegar do well in many rural counties in the middle of the state?

Possibly because she contested a seat in that area and her ID just expanded, she is a very formidable candidate.
Right, TX-31. West did well in DFW because he’s from that area. Why did he also win a few rural counties in the eastern part of the state?

Potentially the African-American population that is in east texas, as there is a large percentage in that region. That seems to easy to use but I think it is valid enough.
That sounds right. And why did John Cornyn lose San Saba County to Dwayne Stovall in the GOP primary?

No luck in your TX-SEN GOP Map thread?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #8 on: March 18, 2020, 11:19:16 AM »
News websites made an error in the GOP primary, accidentally reporting that Cornyn got 95 votes in San Saba. He actually got 959. Cornyn won every county. What will the Denocratic runoff look like? Who will the primary losers endorse?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: March 18, 2020, 02:16:22 PM »
Cornyn is not Cruz and will beat Hegar or Clayton
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #10 on: March 18, 2020, 02:20:22 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 18, 2020, 11:19:16 AM
News websites made an error in the GOP primary, accidentally reporting that Cornyn got 95 votes in San Saba. He actually got 959. Cornyn won every county. What will the Denocratic runoff look like? Who will the primary losers endorse?
Bell already endorsed Royce. Considering the fact that Royce essentially only made it into the runoff by maxing out his vote in the Dallas area, while Hegar had far more general appeal, I would give her a significant edge. Not to mention the fact that most of the runner-ups were progressives, to whom Hegar has more appeal.
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W
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« Reply #11 on: March 20, 2020, 12:57:23 PM »
This is actually really fascinating just looking at how regional some support is. Thanks for making this!
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #12 on: March 20, 2020, 01:22:32 PM »
How long did it take you to make that amazing map?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #13 on: March 20, 2020, 11:10:57 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on March 20, 2020, 01:22:32 PM
How long did it take you to make that amazing map?
5 hours.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #14 on: March 21, 2020, 12:19:51 AM »
damn dude. You are too good to us
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #15 on: March 21, 2020, 09:41:40 PM »
Cornyn obviously has the advantage going into the general, but do you think Hegar can win?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #16 on: March 21, 2020, 09:43:52 PM »
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:41:40 PM
Cornyn obviously has the advantage going into the general, but do you think Hegar can win?

No, but I think West can win.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #17 on: March 21, 2020, 09:51:22 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 21, 2020, 09:43:52 PM
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:41:40 PM
Cornyn obviously has the advantage going into the general, but do you think Hegar can win?

No, but I think West can win.
What makes him stand out?
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #18 on: March 21, 2020, 09:56:11 PM »
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:51:22 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 21, 2020, 09:43:52 PM
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:41:40 PM
Cornyn obviously has the advantage going into the general, but do you think Hegar can win?

No, but I think West can win.
What makes him stand out?

He has actual political experience (he’s a state legislator). I think he would be an excellent to the Senate Judiciary Committee. Hegar doesn’t have the political experience. I believe political experience is important when running statewide.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #19 on: March 21, 2020, 10:17:00 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 21, 2020, 09:56:11 PM
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:51:22 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 21, 2020, 09:43:52 PM
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:41:40 PM
Cornyn obviously has the advantage going into the general, but do you think Hegar can win?

No, but I think West can win.
What makes him stand out?

He has actual political experience (he’s a state legislator). I think he would be an excellent to the Senate Judiciary Committee. Hegar doesn’t have the political experience. I believe political experience is important when running statewide.
But doesn't Hegar have the 2018 advantage?

I mean, let's face it.  Texas Dems were VERY spoiled with Beto.  He brought a special magic to a statewide race that I don't think any other Texas Dem would be able to replicate.
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #20 on: March 21, 2020, 10:37:50 PM »
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 10:17:00 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 21, 2020, 09:56:11 PM
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:51:22 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 21, 2020, 09:43:52 PM
Quote from: Millennials Against Malarkey on March 21, 2020, 09:41:40 PM
Cornyn obviously has the advantage going into the general, but do you think Hegar can win?

No, but I think West can win.
What makes him stand out?

He has actual political experience (he’s a state legislator). I think he would be an excellent to the Senate Judiciary Committee. Hegar doesn’t have the political experience. I believe political experience is important when running statewide.
But doesn't Hegar have the 2018 advantage?

I mean, let's face it.  Texas Dems were VERY spoiled with Beto.  He brought a special magic to a statewide race that I don't think any other Texas Dem would be able to replicate.

Since Hegar doesn’t have the political experience, what does she have?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: March 21, 2020, 10:42:08 PM »
This was really a stretch for Dems, Cornyn will win by double digits
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #22 on: March 22, 2020, 10:56:12 AM »
Quote from: Jen10 on March 22, 2020, 10:51:15 AM
I really have no clue how Mama Garcia won Webb
Webb is a majority-Hispanic county.
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