NBC/Marist: Biden leads Trump in AZ and OH, Sanders leads in OH (user search)
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  NBC/Marist: Biden leads Trump in AZ and OH, Sanders leads in OH (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Biden leads Trump in AZ and OH, Sanders leads in OH  (Read 3556 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,525


« on: March 16, 2020, 11:48:47 AM »

Should we really trust MARIST anymore? I mean they severely underestimated Republican Support in the 2018 Midterm Elections in almost every Statewide Race except for Arizona.

Selzer showing Trump up 10 Points in IA yet Marist claims Biden up 4 in Ohio. No way this is true. Trumps Margin in OH was actually bigger in '16 compared to IA.

I say TOSS these GE Polls from them.

But Zaybay told us in 2018 than Marist is the Gold Standard Pollster and will never get it wrong, LOL.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,525


« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2020, 12:12:24 PM »

Ohio and IA are not going to be as GOP-friendly as many think. Underrated chance of them flipping back, especially if Biden gets the nomination.
If they flip back that will probably the last time ANY DEMOCRAT wins there for the forseeable future. The dice has already been cast in 2016 which was to some extend a realignment Election. The Democrats will get clobbered in MN, IA, OH, MI, WI, and PA in the future. The Midwest is GONE for them because their Base Vote (Cities, AA) is shrinking in those States.

The Future for the Democratic Party lies in the Sunbelt. The Question then is: Which Region is changing faster, the Sunbelt or the Rustbelt. Democrats will have a massive Electoral Vote Problem on their hands come 2024 and beyond.
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