NBC/Marist: Biden leads Trump in AZ and OH, Sanders leads in OH
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  NBC/Marist: Biden leads Trump in AZ and OH, Sanders leads in OH		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Biden leads Trump in AZ and OH, Sanders leads in OH  (Read 4256 times)
Don't blame me I voted for Harris
PittsburghSteel
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« on: March 16, 2020, 11:41:27 AM »
Arizona-

Biden: 47% (+1)
Trump: 46%

Trump: 48%
Sanders: 45% (-3)

Ohio-

Biden: 49% (+4)
Trump: 45%

Sanders: 48% (+2)
Trump: 46%

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1160536?__twitter_impression=true
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2020, 11:41:32 AM »
AZ: Biden 47/Trump 46 (Biden +1):Trump 48/Sanders 45 (Trump +3)

OH: Biden 49/Trump 45 (Biden +4):Sanders 48/Trump 46 (Sanders +2)

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-news-marist-polls-biden-holds-big-leads-over-sanders-n1160536
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2020, 11:43:02 AM »
Lol could you imagine?
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Don't blame me I voted for Harris
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« Reply #3 on: March 16, 2020, 11:46:13 AM »
I posted these polls 5 seconds before you *sunglass emoji*

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=364664.0
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2016
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« Reply #4 on: March 16, 2020, 11:48:47 AM »
Should we really trust MARIST anymore? I mean they severely underestimated Republican Support in the 2018 Midterm Elections in almost every Statewide Race except for Arizona.

Selzer showing Trump up 10 Points in IA yet Marist claims Biden up 4 in Ohio. No way this is true. Trumps Margin in OH was actually bigger in '16 compared to IA.

I say TOSS these GE Polls from them.

But Zaybay told us in 2018 than Marist is the Gold Standard Pollster and will never get it wrong, LOL.
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Pollster
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« Reply #5 on: March 16, 2020, 11:57:55 AM »
These are registered voter polls, granted with very large sample sizes.

We have yet to see who likely voter models benefit, they have fluctuated between both parties in recent years.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #6 on: March 16, 2020, 12:04:12 PM »
Ohio and IA are not going to be as GOP-friendly as many think. Underrated chance of them flipping back, especially if Biden gets the nomination.
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2016
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« Reply #7 on: March 16, 2020, 12:12:24 PM »
Quote from: LCameronOR on March 16, 2020, 12:04:12 PM
Ohio and IA are not going to be as GOP-friendly as many think. Underrated chance of them flipping back, especially if Biden gets the nomination.
If they flip back that will probably the last time ANY DEMOCRAT wins there for the forseeable future. The dice has already been cast in 2016 which was to some extend a realignment Election. The Democrats will get clobbered in MN, IA, OH, MI, WI, and PA in the future. The Midwest is GONE for them because their Base Vote (Cities, AA) is shrinking in those States.

The Future for the Democratic Party lies in the Sunbelt. The Question then is: Which Region is changing faster, the Sunbelt or the Rustbelt. Democrats will have a massive Electoral Vote Problem on their hands come 2024 and beyond.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #8 on: March 16, 2020, 12:13:12 PM »
Lmao no way does OH vote to the left of AZ
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: March 16, 2020, 12:14:46 PM »
OH looks a bit far too friendly to the Democrats.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #10 on: March 16, 2020, 12:16:15 PM »
Ohio wont vote Dem unless Biden wins by 8 points nationally
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AGA
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« Reply #11 on: March 16, 2020, 12:35:29 PM »
OhIo iS lEsS cOmPeTiTiVe ThAn TeXaS
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andjey
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« Reply #12 on: March 16, 2020, 12:36:48 PM »
Ohio is more likely to flip than Iowa
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #13 on: March 16, 2020, 12:46:54 PM »
Biden might be able to access Senator Brown's 2018 path to win OH thanks to his strong roots in the region, but that's a shaky statement this far out at best.
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Neocon Dem
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« Reply #14 on: March 16, 2020, 12:49:24 PM »
That's nice to see.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: March 16, 2020, 01:01:53 PM »
AZ is looking pretty competitive this year.
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krb08
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« Reply #16 on: March 16, 2020, 01:16:05 PM »
I've always thought Iowa would be more competitive than Ohio, but between the recent DMR poll and this, I have to change my mind. It's starting to look like Ohio is more likely to flip.
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RI
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« Reply #17 on: March 16, 2020, 01:16:24 PM »
X doubt
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: March 16, 2020, 01:20:36 PM »
Great news
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #19 on: March 16, 2020, 01:22:18 PM »

Nope wont happen
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krb08
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« Reply #20 on: March 16, 2020, 01:26:02 PM »

Neither will flip, but if one did it would be Ohio.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: March 16, 2020, 01:36:31 PM »


Ohio has predicted every EC vote winner since 1964. Unlike in FL where Cuban embargo matters, Ohio can vote D
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: March 16, 2020, 02:49:50 PM »
Trump needs to hold both states and win WI, IA and FL or he isnt Prez. As long as Dems win 1 of them, Biden will be Prez
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #23 on: March 16, 2020, 03:13:00 PM »
bUt DeMoCrAtS sHoUlD TrIaGe oHiO
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #24 on: March 16, 2020, 03:18:18 PM »

They should, and if they know what they're doing they will. Republicans might as well aggressively target Oregon.
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