Tilt D. AZ may save us from defeat if WI goes for Trump.
If WI is declared for Trump on election night but PA and MI are in Biden's column, we might have to wait for AZ to be called before we have an elected prez (assuming Trump also wins NC and FL).
WI is gonna vote to left of AZ, due to Evers having a net approval rating
AZ can split its votes for Prez and Senate, McSally lost while Ducey won. Can happen again and I expect the race will tighten with McSally and Kelly
I wouldn't mix up gov approvals with elections at national level. Wolf has always had a solid approval, and PA still voted for Trump in 2016. FL would also be safe R according to this logic, since DeSantis is popular. WI may very well vote to the right of AZ this time around.
