AZ-Univision/ASU: Biden +8, Sanders +5

[Gass3268]

Biden 50
Trump 42

Sanders 48
Trump 43

Source

[Dr. Arch]

AZ is running away from Trump at the speed of light.

[OneJ]

Nice poll!

[Sir Mohamed]

Almost half Hispanic?

I think this poll is an outlier, but I'd be worried about AZ in Trump's position. Mark Kelly running a strong campaign and Biden being a good fit gives me hope to take AZ in November.

[Gass3268]

Arizona is starting to feel like a reverse Iowa/Ohio.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

When Perez said they were going after NC/AZ instead of OH/IA, he knew what he was doing

[indietraveler]

Will be interesting if these AZ polls keep holding over the next few months (along with polls showing TX close). Democrats might have a new 270+ blue wall by 2024.

[soundchaser]

Tough to say Arizona is anything but Lean D at the moment.

[Podgy the Bear]

If this is the case, then FL and NC are likely for Biden--with GA and TX clearly in play.

[Catalyst138]

Even SANDERS is in a strong lead, when this has usually been one of the weakest states for progressives. Good for Dems as a whole.

[Devout Centrist]

College poll, people. Take it with a grain of salt.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Biden has a +7 favorable rating, Bernie is at -4, Trump at -8.

[Gracile]

Incredibly D-friendly, of course, but it suggests Arizona is clearly competitive and its likelihood to flip should be taken seriously.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Both arizona polls conducted when stocks began crashing and aren’t inclusive of Thor last few days when panic started setting in

[pbrower2a]

Large Mexican-American population which includes a large number of new, young voters. Trump has nothing to offer them, and it shows in the voting.

Yes, Univision is a Spanish-language TV network. Know well:

1. Mexican-Americans can assimilate Anglos into their culture.
2. Antipathy toward Mexican-Americans has never been as much a political asset for the Right as anti-black sentiment has been anywhere and at any time.
3. Arizona has lots of former Californians having moved in who have brought their liberal politics with them. (It used to be that former Californians moving to Arizona were conservatives; that is long over).
4. Mexican-Americans do not fall for the anti-intellectual shtick that Trump promotes. The poor Mexican-Americans want their kids to perform well in school so that they not be consigned to poverty.
5. Mexican-Americans are still predominantly Catholic, and the Catholic Church does not promote the economic ideology of the GOP.
6. Arizona gave a plurality of its total vote for House seats to Democrats in 2018.

Middle-class Mexican-Americans vote much like middle-class Jews.

[S019]

This poll has half of the poll as Hispanic, junk it, but that’s not to say that Arizona won’t vote D in November, I expect it to, but Biden’s not winning by 8, if that happens then we have a literal Democratic landslide occurring

[MT Treasurer]

AZ is probably the state most likely to flip in November, even if the usual suspects keep burying their heads in the sand about the state's trend. Lean D.

[Woody]

Imagine if Trump gets Romney 12' numbers.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Imagine if Trump gets Romney 12' numbers.

In a similar vein, Imagine if Biden got Clinton 1996 numbers in Tennessee.

In other words: dare to dream I guess?

[We Live in Black and White]

Looks like trends are going to work in reverse for Donny Disease this year.

[DaWN]

AZ is probably the state most likely to flip in November, even if the usual suspects keep burying their heads in the sand about the state's trend. Lean D.

imo oh more likely to flip than az because 2012 and trends aren't real tbh imo

[We Live in Black and White]

AZ is probably the state most likely to flip in November, even if the usual suspects keep burying their heads in the sand about the state's trend. Lean D.

imo oh more likely to flip than az because 2012 and trends aren't real tbh imo

This response contributes literally nothing.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

AZ is probably the state most likely to flip in November, even if the usual suspects keep burying their heads in the sand about the state's trend. Lean D.

imo oh more likely to flip than az because 2012 and trends aren't real tbh imo

This response contributes literally nothing.

It’s not as if the people posting about Biden resurrecting the 2012 map from the dead are contributing much useful analysis either

[We Live in Black and White]

AZ is probably the state most likely to flip in November, even if the usual suspects keep burying their heads in the sand about the state's trend. Lean D.

imo oh more likely to flip than az because 2012 and trends aren't real tbh imo

This response contributes literally nothing.

It’s not as if the people posting about Biden resurrecting the 2012 map from the dead are contributing much useful analysis either

Doesn't make either one any less bad.

[DaWN]

AZ is probably the state most likely to flip in November, even if the usual suspects keep burying their heads in the sand about the state's trend. Lean D.

imo oh more likely to flip than az because 2012 and trends aren't real tbh imo

This response contributes literally nothing.

Terribly sorry my posts don't reach your vigorous standards. Next time I want to take the mick out of bad analysis I happen to see mentioned on this esteemed forum, I'll make sure to ask your permission first.