There is no fricking way this can honestly be called a tossup race anymore...come on, lean D at minimum.
I'm starting to agree, at this point. Kelly has led in virtually every single poll of this race since he launched his candidacy, and McSally's numbers seem to have declined in recent weeks. Moreover, polls show Biden as competitive in Arizona against Trump, and Kelly is guaranteed to run ahead of Biden. McSally is definitely the third most likely incumbent Senator of either party to lose after Jones and Gardner, and could still lose even if Trump carries Arizona and wins reelection.
