AZ (OH-Predictive Insights): Biden +6, Trump +7
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 12:37:35 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  AZ (OH-Predictive Insights): Biden +6, Trump +7		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: AZ (OH-Predictive Insights): Biden +6, Trump +7  (Read 1313 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,527
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 13, 2020, 07:32:57 AM »
Logged
American2020
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,504
Côte d'Ivoire


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2020, 07:42:42 AM »
More and more people are saying they're fed up with Trump, his behavior and his way of handling a crisis. Also they want to have more normal presidency.
Hispanics are saying the same things.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,511


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2020, 07:52:04 AM »
There is NO WAY that Biden is up 6 Points on Trump in AZ. If that were the case Biden would win 400 Electoral Votes and TX would go blue.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2020, 07:53:50 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on March 13, 2020, 07:52:04 AM
There is NO WAY that Biden is up 6 Points on Trump in AZ. If that were the case Biden would win 400 Electoral Votes and TX would go blue.


Mmm I can see Arizona voting to the left of some rust belt states depending on how the election goes.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,698


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2020, 08:02:29 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on March 13, 2020, 07:52:04 AM
There is NO WAY that Biden is up 6 Points on Trump in AZ. If that were the case Biden would win 400 Electoral Votes and TX would go blue.

From your keyboard to God's monitor.
Logged
Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,969


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2020, 08:02:46 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on March 13, 2020, 07:52:04 AM
If that were the case Biden would win 400 Electoral Votes and TX would go blue.

Right--isn't that wonderful?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,698


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2020, 08:04:12 AM »
The same pollster had Biden -2 and Sanders -13 in December.
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 13, 2020, 08:06:27 AM »
Arizona is ridin' with Biden, I guess.
Logged
Dumbo
Rookie
**
Posts: 210
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 13, 2020, 08:11:33 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on March 13, 2020, 07:52:04 AM
There is NO WAY that Biden is up 6 Points on Trump in AZ. If that were the case Biden would win 400 Electoral Votes and TX would go blue.

Well, that's the result of confusing the people by saying the EU travel ban is for cargo and later the travel ban is not for goods.
Logged
indietraveler
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,039


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 13, 2020, 08:49:37 AM »
I have a hard time believing that big of a gap between Biden and Sanders. I get that Biden might be getting a bounce right now but something seems off one way or the other.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,698


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 13, 2020, 08:59:13 AM »
Quote from: indietraveler on March 13, 2020, 08:49:37 AM
I have a hard time believing that big of a gap between Biden and Sanders. I get that Biden might be getting a bounce right now but something seems off one way or the other.

This pollster has consistently shown a big gap between them in Arizona:

Feb 19: Biden even, Sanders -12 (diff: 12)
May 19: Biden +5, Sanders -9 (diff: 14)
Aug 19: Biden +2, Sanders -10 (diff: 12)
Dec 19: Biden -2, Sanders -13 (diff: 11)
Mar 20: Biden +6, Sanders -7 (diff: 13)
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,527
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 13, 2020, 09:11:57 AM »
If I remember right, this pollster was also one of McSally's best in 2018.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,851


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 13, 2020, 09:12:57 AM »
Quote from: indietraveler on March 13, 2020, 08:49:37 AM
I have a hard time believing that big of a gap between Biden and Sanders. I get that Biden might be getting a bounce right now but something seems off one way or the other.

I believe it.

In 2018, a Sanders-backed candidate got blown right out of the water.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,684
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 13, 2020, 09:15:05 AM »
Good
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,851


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 13, 2020, 09:17:01 AM »
Another thing:



So, chances are, there won't be a lot of ticket splitting.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,511


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 13, 2020, 09:26:05 AM »
I personally have a hard time believing this Poll at all if you look at the Field Dates: March 3-4. That says a lot, doesn't it? It was done at the heart of the Biden Surge (Super Tuesday + the Day after). If they had waited a couple of Days more and then had the same Result it would have been much more believable IMO.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,703
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 13, 2020, 09:35:25 AM »
Nah, this is for sure an outlier. Biden is a better fit for AZ than Sanders, but such a difference is ridiculous.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 13, 2020, 09:40:19 AM »
Quote from: pppolitics on March 13, 2020, 09:17:01 AM
Another thing:



So, chances are, there won't be a lot of ticket splitting.
Isn't that supposed to be a more GOP-favoring pollster?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,684
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 13, 2020, 09:40:37 AM »
Too bad for SN2903,  he said Biden was the weakest link and this poll confirmed that Bernie was; consequently,  Trump voters wanted Bernie, due to fact Trump would of been reelected.

That's why Bullock jumped into the Senate race against Daines
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,565
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: March 13, 2020, 09:41:03 AM »
While Biden probably has a good chance in Arizona at this point, he won't win it by 6 points. Probably 4 at most.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: March 13, 2020, 11:06:44 AM »
AZ polls have been disappointing lately, so this is a bit of good news in the middle of our new hell.
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: March 13, 2020, 02:15:20 PM »
Clearly fake news DNC neoliberal dirty tricks and propaganda Smiley
Logged
Sbane
sbane
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,309


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: March 13, 2020, 02:19:40 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on March 13, 2020, 07:52:04 AM
There is NO WAY that Biden is up 6 Points on Trump in AZ. If that were the case Biden would win 400 Electoral Votes and TX would go blue.

Umm yeah...that is a distinct possibility. In my opinion the Democrats do fall short of Texas by a few points but Arizona likely flips. It will be closer than 6 though unless Trump manages to screw up the coronavirus response even further.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,144
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: March 13, 2020, 07:12:00 PM »
Please live up to this and save us, Arizona! I will love you forever!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.05 seconds with 13 queries.