Question here: if Chafee gets the LP nomination, what % does he get nationally and in his home state of Rhode Island? I’m sure he will backslide compared to 2016, but as a former governor I could still see him clearing 1% nationally, maybe 1.1% and in RI getting like 2.1% or something.
1% will be tough with Biden as the D nominee. Gary Johnson 2012 was a stronger candidacy for the LP, and didn't quite break 1%. Breaking 1% is probably more likely with Chafee than with Hornberger, but there just aren't many signs that 2020 will be a big year for third parties at the moment. My guess is that the media ignores any 2020 LP candidacy like they have every year except 2016.