WA (Data for Progress) - Biden +3

[Lisa's voting Biden]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1236477743761477635?s=20

[538Electoral]

Wow. Shows you how bad of a position Sanders is in right now.

[ProudModerate2]

That's now two polls showing Biden leading (though by small margins).
Honestly, if Bernie losses Washington, it is over.

[n1240]

Shouldn't Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar have received a notable number of early votes?

[Sbane]

And here I was thinking Michigan would be the KO. RIP Bernie.

[Crumpets]

Remember, Clinton won the Washington primary in 2016 and kept it pretty close in the 2008 primary. We just also had caucuses in those years where Bernie and Obama blew it out of the water, and those were where the delegates came from. This year it's primary-only.

[RI]

As I've been saying, the median WA Dem is far less progressive (especially economically) than this forum envisions.

[Eraserhead]

Come on Bernie, at least hang on to the west.

On the plus side, Warren is out now and Gabbard's number seems inflated.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Crosstabs:
http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/3/primary_polling/wa_3_7.pdf

[Xing]

Shouldn't Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar have received a notable number of early votes?

Yes, which is why Sanders has a chance here.

As I've been saying, the median WA Dem is far less progressive (especially economically) than this forum envisions.

But still not "centrist" by any means. Perhaps you're referring to people who call WA the "Vermont of the West", which really only applies to Seattle and a few nearby areas, but WA Democrats are not to the right of Democrats nationally.

[BlueSwan]

If Biden can win Washington then even the bros should realize that it is over.

[jeron]

The crosstabs are interesting. They have apparently interviewed more very liberal dems than moderates. (257 to 187). If you take a look at the CA and MA exit polls, very liberal and moderates are about even, there were actually slightly more moderates than very liberals: 29% to 30% in CA and 27% to 30% in MA. This poll may be overstating Sanders’ support here.

[Politician]

Stop! Stop! He's already dead!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Stop! Stop! He's already dead!

He's still running, though

[Roronoa D. Law]

Stop! Stop! He's already dead!

He's still running, though

Is he?

[IceSpear]

That's now two polls showing Biden leading (though by small margins).
Honestly, if Bernie losses Washington, it is over.

It's already over.

[IceSpear]

If Biden can win Washington then even the bros should realize that it is over.

In 2016 many of the bros kept hope alive because "Bernie could win California 90-10." This would not deter them.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Uh-oh!

[DrScholl]

That state as Seattle, Olympia and Bellingham to give it a decent liberal tilt, but Seattle's suburbs are fairly moderate. The rest of the state could go either way.

[Xing]

That state as Seattle, Olympia and Bellingham to give it a decent liberal tilt, but Seattle's suburbs are fairly moderate. The rest of the state could go either way.

Most Seattle suburbs aren’t “moderate” per se (Bellevue in particular is far less moderate than it used to be), but if you’re just saying that they’re less liberal than Seattle, then yeah, hard to argue with that.

[Badger]

If this is even close to True, should Sanders still eke out a narrow victory he's not going to pick up much advantage in delegates as he desperately needs.

[Green Line]

That state as Seattle, Olympia and Bellingham to give it a decent liberal tilt, but Seattle's suburbs are fairly moderate. The rest of the state could go either way.

Most Seattle suburbs aren’t “moderate” per se (Bellevue in particular is far less moderate than it used to be), but if you’re just saying that they’re less liberal than Seattle, then yeah, hard to argue with that.

No, they're very moderate.

[Xing]

That state as Seattle, Olympia and Bellingham to give it a decent liberal tilt, but Seattle's suburbs are fairly moderate. The rest of the state could go either way.

Most Seattle suburbs aren’t “moderate” per se (Bellevue in particular is far less moderate than it used to be), but if you’re just saying that they’re less liberal than Seattle, then yeah, hard to argue with that.

No, they're very moderate.

Yes, obviously a poster from IL understands my state better than I do

[Green Line]

That state as Seattle, Olympia and Bellingham to give it a decent liberal tilt, but Seattle's suburbs are fairly moderate. The rest of the state could go either way.

Most Seattle suburbs aren’t “moderate” per se (Bellevue in particular is far less moderate than it used to be), but if you’re just saying that they’re less liberal than Seattle, then yeah, hard to argue with that.

No, they're very moderate.

Yes, obviously a poster from IL understands my state better than I do

Yeah, I might!  I know these moderates.  They don’t want a socialist, they want a neoliberal.  Maybe in Seattle that would fly.

[Xing]

That state as Seattle, Olympia and Bellingham to give it a decent liberal tilt, but Seattle's suburbs are fairly moderate. The rest of the state could go either way.

Most Seattle suburbs aren’t “moderate” per se (Bellevue in particular is far less moderate than it used to be), but if you’re just saying that they’re less liberal than Seattle, then yeah, hard to argue with that.

No, they're very moderate.

Yes, obviously a poster from IL understands my state better than I do

Yeah, I might!  I know these moderates.  They don’t want a socialist, they want a neoliberal.  Maybe in Seattle that would fly.

0/10, try harder.