Is Iowa still a swing state? (user search)
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  Is Iowa still a swing state? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Iowa still a swing state?  (Read 2913 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: March 06, 2020, 09:19:30 AM »
Yes,  King, can cause Ernst to lose, with Biden as the nominee
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2020, 02:42:35 PM »
Ernst is popular King isnt, King can cause Ernst to lose
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: March 10, 2020, 01:33:35 PM »
OH, IA , NM have voted consistently for the Prez winner except in 2000 and 2016, and in those instances, NM correctly predicted the PVI winner, while IA and OH predicted the EC vote winner
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: March 10, 2020, 02:57:25 PM »
Quote from: DuPage will vote for Biden on March 10, 2020, 02:36:37 PM
No not really.

Most states can still elect the opposing party but even in a large Biden PV win Iowa probably will not flip.

Bernie Sanders won the primary there and Dems have 3/4 Dems delegation, Biden can win IA and OH and FL


Ernst isnt running against Patty judge and she isnt  as well liked as Grassley
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: March 10, 2020, 03:29:05 PM »
QU has had Biden leading in OH in the last poll
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: March 10, 2020, 07:16:44 PM »
Ernst isnt Grassley and she wont win by 10 points that she beat Braley by, she is only up 6 pts
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2020, 05:36:25 AM »
Reverse my previous prediction, IA isnt a swing state
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,706
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2020, 01:58:04 AM »
DEMS arent contesting IA due to its rural population
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