2020 tidings of doom: Dems locked out of multiple CA Assembly seats (user search)
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  2020 tidings of doom: Dems locked out of multiple CA Assembly seats (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 tidings of doom: Dems locked out of multiple CA Assembly seats  (Read 1175 times)
Oryxslayer
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« on: March 05, 2020, 12:55:15 PM »
« edited: March 05, 2020, 12:58:22 PM by Oryxslayer »
Excusing the sarcasm...



Counts will continue till April. For example, everyone who has an atual grapple on this thing expects second place in AD72 to change in the next days...at the bare minimum.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2020, 09:34:16 AM »
Spoiler, 2.5 million was only a rough projection. Last night, the SoS put out a county-by-county sheet that confirmed the following, which doesn't include day-of-mailed votes which will arrive in a few more days.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2020, 07:39:30 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on March 06, 2020, 06:22:43 PM
Quote from: Epaminondas on March 06, 2020, 06:33:42 AM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on March 05, 2020, 12:55:15 PM
Counts will continue till April. For example, everyone who has an atual grapple on this thing expects second place in AD72 to change in the next days...at the bare minimum.

Evenly distributed, those 2.5M would amount to 31k votes per Assembly constituency.
While AD72 might change, it does look fairly certain AD38 will be a lockout.

Will California ever move to ranked ballot? They don't even need the Republicans for legislation any more.



I felt your doomsaying could be improved on.
Do early votes favor Democrats? If so, will Diedre Nguyen get enough to force Tyler Diep out?

The votes counted before or on election night favor tend to be the best the GOP will ever see in a CA contest. The votes counted after e-day push the count increasingly towards the democrats. For how many threads you make on CA elections, you should know this.
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