2020 tidings of doom: Dems locked out of multiple CA Assembly seats

[I’m not Stu]

Counts will continue till April. For example, everyone who has an atual grapple on this thing expects second place in AD72 to change in the next days...at the bare minimum.

Evenly distributed, those 2.5M would amount to 31k votes per Assembly constituency.
While AD72 might change, it does look fairly certain AD38 will be a lockout.

Will California ever move to ranked ballot? They don't even need the Republicans for legislation any more.

No one cares about my thread

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=362642.0

I felt your doomsaying could be improved on.

Do early votes favor Democrats? If so, will Diedre Nguyen get enough to force Tyler Diep out?

[I’m not Stu]

Counts will continue till April. For example, everyone who has an atual grapple on this thing expects second place in AD72 to change in the next days...at the bare minimum.

Evenly distributed, those 2.5M would amount to 31k votes per Assembly constituency.
While AD72 might change, it does look fairly certain AD38 will be a lockout.

Will California ever move to ranked ballot? They don't even need the Republicans for legislation any more.

No one cares about my thread

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=362642.0

I felt your doomsaying could be improved on.

Do early votes favor Democrats? If so, will Diedre Nguyen get enough to force Tyler Diep out?

The votes counted before or on election night favor tend to be the best the GOP will ever see in a CA contest. The votes counted after e-day push the count increasingly towards the democrats. For how many threads you make on CA elections, you should know this.

But will it be enough for Diedre Nguyen, or will Bijan Mohseni siphon too many votes?

[I’m not Stu]

Democrats are not doomed. Look at AD72. Diedre Nguyen is only behind Tyler Diep by 17 votes.

[I’m not Stu]

Uniting behind a candidate is important in jungle primaries. A third Democrat in the AD72 primary would have locked Democrats out.